Ark Restaurants (NASDAQ:ARKR) Q3 2022 Earnings Call

0:00 Got a front row seat. Greetings. Welcome to the AHRQ Restaurant's third quarter 2022 results conference call. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. Please note this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, AHRQ Secretary Christopher Love. You may begin. Thank you, operator. Good morning and thank you for joining us on our conference call for the third quarter ended July 2nd, 2022. My name is Christopher Love and I am the Secretary of Arc Restaurants. With me on the call today is Michael Weinstein, our Chairman and CEO, Anthony Sirica, our President and Chief Financial Officer, and Vinnie Pascal, our Chief Operating Officer.

0:50 For those of you who have not yet obtained a copy of our press release, it was issued over the news wires yesterday and is available on our website. To review the full text of that release, along with the associated financial tables, please go to our homepage at www.arcrestaurant.com. Before we begin, I'd like to read the Safe Harbor Statement. I need to remind everyone that part of our discussion this morning will include forward-looking statements and that these statements are not guarantees of future performance, and therefore, undue reliance should not be placed on them. to our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for more detailed discussion of the risks that may have a direct bearing on our operating results, performance, and financial conditions. I'll now turn the call over to Michael.

1:39 Hi, everybody. First, I'd like to get Anthony involved to explain the quarter from a financial point of view and our balance sheet. So, Anthony, please. Yes, we saw the release. We had a very strong quarter. I want to run through the balance sheet real quick. As you saw on the release, our cash was $26.6 million. As of today, it's probably up a million from that. Other significant changes on the balance sheet, we did collect our carryback claims during the quarter of $2 million. So that process took about a year, but we finally got the refunds from the CARES Act, which enabled us to carry back losses five years instead of three.

2:27 We have a significant increase in our operating right of use assets from the Las Vegas lease extensions of about $24 million with a corresponding increase in the liability. And our debt is $25 million, which is made up of $23.5 to the bank. 700,000 seller note from the Blue Moon purchase and 800,000 of PPP loans which there were two loans remaining outstanding which we are still working on getting them forgiven. We had a couple of questions from the SBA. As far as the quarter goes, a couple of items of note that in the current quarter there are one-time adjustments for compensation accruals of about half a million dollars, as well as there are accruals for the Vegas lease extensions of approximately $300,000.

3:26 So essentially, the accrual for compensation was a one-time accrual for a future payment of compensation. The accrual for the Vegas leases occurred because when we started negotiations with MGM for the extension of our leases, the extensions were going to be as of January 1st, 2022. The leases were not signed until the middle of this year. We were not able to accrue because we didn't have signed leases Earlier, our accountants said that would be inappropriate.

4:15 So once the leases were signed, we had to go back and accrue for those extra rents, which were paid recently. Yeah, I'm sorry. Yeah, go ahead. Just on that note, if you recall from the last conference call, one of the leases was signed. Now all three of the extensions have been signed. The third one was signed subsequent to the quarter on July 7th or 8th. and that's the one that caused this accrual because we had to accrue back to January 1. Right. So basically there's 800 and some odd thousand dollars of accruals that were really either one time in the case of the compensation accrual and in terms of the Vegas leases didn't really belong in this period.

5:09 So, you know, the quarter was stronger than the EBITDA that year, the $6.2 million in EBITDA, if you just broke out the quarter by itself. Anthony, anything else that you want to? I think that's a significant item. I think so, too. So, we come into the fourth quarter of our fiscal year with a strong balance sheet. to review and go forward with what we think is going on. The quarter was specifically strong with events in Bryant Park, Sequoia.

5:54 It was very strong with revenues in Las Vegas, Alabama. Florida starts to dip sort of in May. So we saw some bad comps in relation to the winter period in the Florida full-service properties. The fast food and hard rocks in Tampa and Hollywood held up very well. What we saw is the equation, if you want, of menu price increases still were not able to keep up with the 2021 period with revenues.

6:53 That means essentially that even though we increased menu prices, our head counts were dropping. The worst of that was probably in late June and July of 2020. July of the current quarter. What we're seeing now in August is that gap is closing and we are much closer and in some cases revenues are ahead of the similar periods last year. So we don't think we're seeing the impact of quote a recession or the results headcounts disruption because of gas prices especially in Florida because gas prices would have an impact if you buy into the fact that our customers are heavily impacted.

7:46 One of the anomalies here for us is Blue Moon Fish Company, which is our highest-priced restaurant, where you have a very well-heeled customer. Those headcounts went down substantially in late June and July. They've sort of come back and were sort of revenue even with the comparable period last year. JB's, on the other hand, which has a lower check average, has been running ahead of last year. Now, this is not in headcounts. This is in revenue. We're still probably behind a little bit in headcounts in JB's and a little bit in Blue Moon. Rustic, which has a very high check average because it's weighted toward king crab legs and some high-priced items.

8:39 We were down 20% in revenue. That number is now about 9%, 10% down. So we're actually seeing our customers come back. despite all this recession fear. And so we're very pleased. Alabama is way ahead of last year, both in customer counts and in revenue. We had modest price increases in Alabama. By the way, in terms of price increases, the mantra here is let's keep our customers. Let's not worry about profit margins. So we're raising prices where we haven't Really no choice.

9:24 King Crab Legs again. But for the most part, we're not looking at trying to retain profit margins. We're trying to, you know, or gross margins. We're trying to retain customers. Have a balance, right? Yeah. And we're looking at all these restaurants separately. You know, demand is so strong for our products and the Hard Rocks, the two Hard Rock hotels. There we feel more comfortable raising prices and we sort of have an umbrella there because we're the least expensive of all the food options in the hotels. But when you look at Rustic, for instance, you know, we used to have a 42, 43% food cost. That's gone up to 52, 53%. We just don't feel comfortable getting You know, trying to retain the same margins that we retain.

10:17 So we've been very cautious about raising prices, very aggressive about retaining customers. It seems to be working. Our customers are there. If there was slippage in late June, mid-July, that slippage has seemed to, you know, improve dramatically. If I take a look at these things, you know, zip code by zip code, Vegas, very strong revenues. Alabama, very strong revenues. Florida, seasonal adjustment, maybe down a little bit from 2021 in revenues and in head counts. But I would say to you in the full-service restaurants in Florida, we had a bumper year in 2021.

11:13 The whole pent-up demand idea was certainly, you know, winded our back last year. It was even more evident in Florida. Yeah, more so in Florida. Sequoia in Washington had a great event quarter in the June quarter. August and September had slowed down. It'll continue to slow down until mid-September. But we have a very strong event calendar for Sequoia in Washington. for October, November, December. Bryan Park, huge event success in the June quarter. Again, slows down right now in August and September, but we're fully booked with events in the December quarter.

12:02 The one restaurant that we're probably having problems with, although events are starting to come in, is Robert at the Museum of Art and Design. The Museum of Art and Design is having its own problems. They have a new director. Attendance has not been good. Publishing office buildings, publishing industry has a lot of office buildings right around there. Those buildings are still way off in terms of occupancy. The publishing industry was a big customer at lunch. Robert is the only disappointment. in terms of strength of revenues compared to prior quarters.

12:48 But again, the event calendar starts to fill up in September. So we're very happy with these businesses right now. The efficiency is not there because we're not efficient with menu prices, this cost. and that's going to continue for a little while. Labor costs, we are paying a ton of overtime because we can't fill our schedules with new workers. That seems to be changing a little bit in New York. I'm here, I see people walking into our restaurants looking for jobs, which was not the case two, three months ago.

13:38 Vegas is still having a lot of problems finding employees. Alabama, a little bit. We're paying overtime, a lot in Alabama. Florida seems to be getting people now. Washington, D.C., we seem to be all right. But for instance, the one restaurant where we can't get enough people to man every shift is Robert. We close now Mondays. have been. We're going to try to get Mondays open sometime after Labor Day. So the business is strong. The balance sheet is strong. We don't see any deterioration that we should be concerned about in headcounts. I'll mention Meadowlands for a second.

14:25 Last year, our K-1 in Meadowlands, our share was about $560,000. We don't report that. It's K-1 income. What we do report is the distributions, which was some $200,000. We continue to be profitable at the Meadowlands. I shouldn't say we. The Meadowlands continues to be profitable. Sports betting was impacted somewhat by... The upstate sports betting in New York, but we still are having very strong results. What is interesting to us is New York seems to be going forward rather quickly with giving licenses for downstate casinos.

15:13 We think that is the catalyst for New Jersey to approve a northern casino away from Atlantic City. we think the likely location is the Meadowlands racetrack. So we've become consistently more optimistic about that possibility of having a casino license at the Meadowlands. With that, I hope I've been clear, but please ask questions. And at this time, we will be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. The confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue.

15:58 For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the start keys. And our first question comes from the line of Sandy Mehta with Evaluate Research. Please proceed with your question. Yes. Good morning, Michael and Anthony. Congratulations on a very strong set of results across the board. Thank you. Do you feel like you are benefiting from market share gains or that in some of your locations competitors have been weakened by the pandemic for the last couple years? And relatedly, what are you seeing in terms of acquisition opportunities? I know you guys are preferred buyers of properties based on how you operate.

16:47 Are you seeing interest there or pricing that's reasonable? for potential deals. Thank you. All right. On the first question, Sandy, I hope you're well, by the way. We don't pay attention to competition. We're not that empirical. There are 25,000 restaurants in New York or used to be. I don't know where we stand vis-a-vis all of them. So I'm not, you know, and I would say I have the same attitude in every venue where we're present. So I have no clue whether we're picking up market share or not. The second question I can answer. We were looking at a deal that we broke off negotiations when we felt that the May numbers and June numbers that property weakened substantially and we were concerned so we broke off negotiations.

17:57 We had another deal we're actively working on. We think the pricing would be fair. The problem with most deals that we look at is we have to have landlords adjust the leases. The tenants who own the restaurant, if they are leasing a restaurant, generally don't have leases which are totally acceptable to us. If they own the property, then there's not like Rustic or Shuckers or the two in Alabama who were buying the land as well as the operation. It's not a problem. We haven't seen one of those in a year or so.

18:44 that would be interesting to us. But we're now looking at a property with a long-term lease, and they're meeting today with the landlord, as a matter of fact, to see if they could get the adjustments in the lease that we need to go forward. So we are seeing stuff. We're picky. We're very conservative. Leases have to meet our criteria. But we are seeing occasionally Good acquisition possibilities at fair prices. So that's the answer I would give you. Great. Thank you so much. Our next question comes from the line of Paul Johnson, a private investor.

19:30 Please proceed with your question. Yes, good morning and congratulations. As long-term investors, it's pretty amazing to see how far you've come since the dark days of COVID. So, just in terms of the, first of all, I just want to ask, you've had a recent appointment to the board of Jessica Cates, and you've had some insider, fairly substantial insider, buying from Thomas Siderfield. I'm wondering if you can comment on either of those? Jessica, Art Stamen retired from the board. Jessica came to us vis-a-vis our outside auditors and they recommended her.

20:25 I did and had conversations with people she had worked with and they were stunningly good recommendations. She brings investment banking talent in the food industry. She's also run private equity. Her partner sits on the board of Cheesecake. She's extremely bright, very personable. And we've only had one board meeting with her. So, you know, she was not very talkative for the first time. She was a good listener. But I think she brings a lot of value to the company.

21:11 In terms of Thomas Satterfield, all I can say is he's been a gentleman throughout. He has never pushed us in terms of giving him any information which is not public information. He is an ideal partner. He owns some 500 and some odd thousand shares right now. I'm delighted to have somebody take an interest in the company the way he has, and we don't have that many conversations with him, but we're just delighted that he's a shareholder.

21:58 For sure, and those are great additions. I just was curious if there was any kind of strategic change as a result of either of these people becoming more involved, let's say. Look, the strategy of this company is, you know, we got either lucky or we were, you know, in the business at the right time in the right areas. I mean, if I look at the history of the company started on the Upper West Side in the 70s, which was dramatically under-restauranted with great gentrification taking place around our restaurants. I think we were Good restauranteurs, but I don't think you had to be very good to be successful. I mean, the supply-demand situation was favorable.

22:53 We moved out of the city and found we could run restaurants outside of the city. First one in Boston. We got lucky with Bryan Park, which nobody else wanted. We got lucky with Vegas, which, you know, even my board disagreed with initially with Why are we going to Vegas? We honed our skills, you know, being able to run big operations away from New York. You know, Vegas, there have been days where we served 25,000 people. Bryan Park we served on really good days, 3,000 to 4,000 people. Sequoia, you know, 1,100 seats. Rustic Inn, you know, constantly serving 1,000 people a day plus. So we've developed this skill of building, designing, and operating large-scale restaurants, which we leased.

23:51 Then six years ago, somebody came to us with a deal, a broker, for the Rustic Inn, again, a 600-seat restaurant where we could buy the land and be our own landlord. And a light bulb went off in our head. It took a long, long time. but a light bulb went off and said, why are we leasing stuff and why are we building stuff when we could buy cash flow at three to four times EBITDA? The risk reward ratio of building is not as good as being able to buy these things. So our plan going forward is essentially to buy cash flow. I don't think you can show me anything In terms of leasing and designing and building a new restaurant, that would be as attractive as waiting patiently to see, you know, these softballs that we're getting, you know, a lot of cash flow for very reasonable prices. And that to me is a better business.

24:55 So that's the way we proceed. No, for sure. And obviously having the buying the land underneath provides an underpinning opportunity. and safety element for the long term versus being subject to inflationary increases from a landlord. Along those lines, do you feel like you have the geographic diversification? Obviously, we've got sort of from the winter months, you've got Florida. The rest of the year, you've got New York and Washington and Vegas. Is there an argument for I don't know, Texas or the Southwest or the Midwest for that matter, providing a little bit more geographic diversification? Or would you rather stay narrower and deeper in, let's say, Florida and Alabama?

25:49 So the answer to that question is, first of all, when you talk about, you know, the winter months in Florida, they're better. But I don't want for one second for anybody to think that these restaurants don't make money in Florida in the middle of August. They do. So they're cash flow positive all year round. If we are in southern Florida, Dade, Broward County, if we wanted to buy a restaurant in Sarasota, That restaurant is as hard or easy for me to run as a restaurant in Austin, Texas.

26:37 It just takes a little longer to get to Austin. So diversity is not our goal. Our goal is to find a product that we could buy at a fair price that has a history of good management, that we not only keep that management, which is extremely important to us, but we have visibility with that restaurant, either through a long-term lease or through ownership. One of the things we've been very fortunate about is that if you look at Rustic, Shuckers, JB's, Blue Moon, the two restaurants in Alabama, all of those acquisitions, the management has stayed with us, the chefs have stayed with us, The great majority of the staff has stayed with us.

27:29 I would like to think we're a better employer than the people that sold us those properties, or at least as good, because a couple of them were really good as employers, but a couple of them were really bad. And I think people like working for us. So the key is I don't want to buy something that's good and find that all the key people are saying goodbye because that's where the knowledge and talent is. So, you know, that's a major criteria for us, but I don't care where the property is. But there's no argument for, I mean, obviously Florida is hot right now and there's, you know, all kinds of articles about people moving down there. And so maybe it's part of a longer term.

28:14 There's no argument for that. Well, no, I was just going to say, obviously there may be a longer term I'm not smart enough to know that. You're asking a question that's not important to me. What is important to me is that I buy good cash flow for a reasonable price with good management, and I really don't care where that property is. Fair enough. Thank you. You're welcome. Our next question comes from the line of Jason Walters, a private investor.

29:01 Please proceed with your question. Sure. Thanks, everybody. Just a quick question, Michael, and I think it's probably implied from what you were just saying, but obviously the company's building a large pile of cash here. You're knocking on the door of $30 million. I assume the primary plan with that money is to look for these acquisitions that you've described the criteria for going forward? Or do you have any other thoughts for the use of that cash? One of the thoughts is maybe pay down some debt because we don't get very much for that money by investing in treasuries or CDs.

29:51 So we could conceivably pay down some debt. I don't think we're at the point yet where we want to increase the dividend. We would only pay down the debt if the banks were willing to extend us, establish a new revolver, a new revolver for which we would pay some small fee. But yeah, it's a good question. The acquisitions we have been making in the past do not require, I mean, I think the most expensive one was $10 million in Alabama. So they don't require us to have, you know, I mean, with Float right now, we have some $30 million in the bank.

30:44 You know, we haven't been active enough to say, that we're going to use that $30 million within a 12-month period, for instance, or a good part of it. We do have obligations in conjunction with the Vegas leases. Right now, this year, we're going to spend a million and a half dollars to redo the kitchens at Gallagher's. We have obligations to sort of dust off the food court, the village streets. We have a longer-term obligation two to three years out of spending maybe four or five million dollars to spruce up America, conceivably maybe change the concept.

31:35 We have some opportunities to increase and change the units in the village streets at New York, New York. So, you know, I would say to you there's seven, eight, nine million dollars over the next couple of years that we're going to be spending just in Vegas now. The argument could be made, well, you know, Vegas alone throws off that kind of cash flow and therefore, you know, 30 million dollars is going to be untouched. And that's the right argument, by the way. But we know we're sitting on too much cash. and if we, you know, we should probably be paying down debt. I hope that answers the question. Yes, thank you.

32:24 And our next question comes from the line of Jeffrey Kaminski with JJK Consulting. Please proceed with your question. Good morning, Michael and team. Again, congratulations on another strong showing. Mike, you touched base briefly on mentioning the dividend in conjunction with the excess cash that you have. What is the reluctancy to bring the level of dividend back to where it was pre-pandemic? And then I have a second question after that. All right. So the first answer is our board wants us to move slowly. I should have mentioned also when I'm talking about the seven, eight million dollars we're going to spend in Vegas. The closer we get to, and the reason we want a new revolver, the more optimistic we get about the Meadowlands.

33:20 We have an exclusive, an all food service, a food and beverage service in the Meadowlands if it becomes a casino. That's going to be an expensive proposition, even though our agreement, which is in place, requires a substantial tenant improvement from the landlord. We could still spend many millions of dollars building seven, eight restaurants and bars. And then there's the question of dilution. You know, we're looking at a project that's a billion dollars in construction.

34:07 We own slightly less than 8% fully diluted right now. Obviously, depending upon the equity to debt ratio for the Meadowlands when they go into construction, the question will become, you know, where's our stock? Do we want to sell equity? How much cash do we have on hand? How much do we want to be diluted? Or are we going to raise money not to be diluted at all? So we have a use for that. That money will go very quickly if the Meadowlands becomes a casino. So that sort of plays into this whole thing. The other argument has been, for me, I don't even think we get there. I think if There's a casino license and Hard Rock is the operator.

34:56 I don't know that they really want us to be involved and may want to buy out our interest. So there's a lot of questions regarding our balance sheet with relation to the future of the Meadowlands. There's a reluctance on the board to move too quickly with increasing the dividend. I think it's important that we look at a new revolver and pay down some debt right now. And, you know, that's sort of the answer. I'm sorry it's a little vague, but you're not going to see a dividend increase beyond what we've done for the next Couple of quarters. Yeah, I just think from a board perspective, although this quarter was very strong and, you know, subsequent to the quarter, the numbers look good.

35:49 You know, we're obviously, we're cautiously optimistic, but, you know, you watch CNBC. I mean, there's a lot of negative sentiment out there about what's coming. So, you know, we want to take measured steps with the dividends. I understand. So my second question, I'm glad you brought up the Meadowlands, Michael, because that's where I was going. And Sam, who's here, you know, just whispered in my ear what you should really, you know, as opposed to paying more of a dividend, if we have the opportunity to buy more cash flow, you know, the cash should be going to that. I understand. I understand. My follow-up, Ben, is in the direction of the Meadowlands, which you had mentioned, so twofold.

36:40 I agree there's been a significant push in terms of gambling in downstate New York. I know the ownership of the New York Mets has been pretty aggressive in already filing papers and getting lobbyists trying to get something at the city field location. Given your involvement at the Meadowlands, are you privy to any information that you could share that that has actually become a catalyst and that in the New Jersey legislator or politicians and lobbyists are actually now gotten kind of a kick in the rear end and they have to move this into gear or is it still all talk? Jeff, so I treat anything I hear coming out of the New Jersey legislator body as rumors.

37:26 I don't pay attention to it. You know, it's not even that it's going to become an emotional roller coaster. I'm not that way. I mean, what happens will happen. We'll be prepared for it. Right. Whichever way it goes. All right. And then the last point on the metal lens, Michael, you've said before, and you've been very consistent, that you see are likely, should there be gambling there, that you see the likely outcome is that they don't necessarily want you around as a partner and you'll negotiate a favorable term, take the money and run, so to speak. Do you see that negotiation would include that you would have the equity interest bought out but you would maintain running the restaurants at the facility or basically it would be a buyout and you would basically exit the whole property?

38:20 So my preference would be, my preference, you know, this is all in my mind. I have not had any discussions with Jim Allen, who's the CEO of, you know, the Hard Rock, with regard to this. It's just guessing on my part from the way they behaved in the past with the development in Hollywood, where they bought out the minority interests. We're restaurateurs. We're in the restaurant business. Obviously, our preference would be to continue running the restaurants. There is a carve-out on exclusivity for a Hard Rock Cafe, so that's not an impediment for them. They can still have a Hard Rock Cafe.

39:13 We would like the opportunity to be restaurateurs wherever we see dynamics of You know, that would be favorable to us. And I would think that that would be very favorable. That's the only comment. Okay. Thank you guys again. Thank you, Jeff. And it looks like we have reached the end of the question and answer session. And I'll now turn the call back over to Michael Weinstein for closed remarks. Yeah. Thank you for the questions. I appreciate the interest. We'll be back for our fiscal year end speaking with you. And we look forward to continue good results.

40:00 Have a nice day. And this concludes today's conference and you may disconnect your line at this time. Thank you for your participation. Thank you. Thank you.