David Young
Senior Vice President of Capital Markets
Replay available
AFLAC (NYSE:AFL) Q1 2026 earnings call, held 2026-04-30. Watch the replay and read the transcript on 6ix.

On 6ix: 6ix.com/event/aflac-incorporated-afl-q1-2026-earnings-call
Automated transcript · Written by software from the replay's audio. It can mishear names and figures; the replay is the record.
0:00 Good day, and welcome to the AFLAC Incorporated First Quarter twenty twenty six Earnings Call. All participants will be in listen only mode. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to hand the call over to David Young, Senior Vice President of Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Good morning, and welcome.
0:57 Thank you for joining us for AFLAC Incorporated's first quarter twenty twenty six earnings call. This morning, Dan Amos, Chairman, CEO of AFLAC Incorporated, will provide an overview of our results and operations in Japan and The United States. Then Max Broden, Senior Executive Vice President and CFO of AFLAC Incorporated, will provide more detail on this quarter's financial results, including our capital and liquidity. These topics are also addressed in the materials we posted with our earnings release, financial supplement and quarterly CFO video update on investors.aflac.com. For Q and A today, we are also joined by Virgil Miller, President of Aflac Incorporated and Aflac U. S. Charles Lake, Chairman and Representative Director, President of Aflac International Masatoche Kuide, President and Representative Director, Aflac Life Insurance Japan and Brad Dislin, Global Chief Investment Officer, President of Aflac Global Investments.
2:00 Before we begin, some statements in this teleconference are forward looking within the meaning of federal securities laws. Although we believe these statements are reasonable, we give no assurance that they will prove to be accurate because they are prospective in nature. Actual results could differ materially from those we discuss today. We encourage you to look at our annual report on Form 10 ks for some of the various risk factors that could materially impact our results. As I mentioned earlier, the earnings release with reconciliations of certain non U. S. GAAP measures and related earnings materials are available on investors. Aflac dot com. I'll now hand the call over to Dan. Dan? Thank you, David, and good morning, everyone. We're glad you've joined us. Although we have just one quarter under our belt, the first quarter marked a good start to the year.
2:53 AFLAC Incorporated reported net earnings per diluted share of 1.98 and adjusted earnings per diluted share of $1.75 These results reflect our focused execution of our strategy, thus creating long term value for our shareholders. Starting with Japan. As you will recall last year, Aflac Japan implemented a marketing and sales transformation, which helped deliver the strong results and sales momentum we saw in 2025 and again in this quarter. This transformation was a major strategic initiative driven by Aflac Japan's corporate strategy and marketing and sales team.
3:40 I would highlight the leadership of Deputy President Shinsuke Morimoto First Senior Vice President, Michihiro Ito and Chief Marketing Officer, Yumi Saito, working together with Executive Vice President, Yoshizumi, to make it happen. As a cohesive management team, they delivered strong results. I'm excited about innovation that they have produced and will continue to bring to the organization moving forward. With this in mind, I'm pleased with Aflac Japan's sales increase of a 25.5% increase for the first quarter. These strong sales results were driven largely by our newest medical product, Anshin Palate and Miraito, our latest cancer insurance product.
4:34 As part of our ongoing strategy, we continue to emphasize and promote the importance of third sector protection to new and younger customers with our innovative first sector product, Sumitasu. The value of our policies resonates with millions of policyholders, and this reinforces how AFLAC's overall strategy is effective and reputation is important. By maintaining strong persistency while adding new premium through sales, we seek to offset the impact of lapses and reissue as well as policies reaching paid up status in the future. Maintaining strong persistency continues to be important to the future of AFLAC Japan.
5:27 Our broad network of distribution channels, including agencies, alliance partners and banks, continually leverage opportunities to help provide financial protection to Japanese consumers. For the quarter, all of our distribution channels generated increases in sales, which is significant considering that we prioritize being where the customer wants to buy insurance. We will continue to evaluate the needs of each channel and support those needs as we work together to provide Japanese citizens with financial protection. Turning to AFLAC U. S, I am encouraged by the 2.9% year over year increase in sales and the momentum we are seeing within all areas of our group business, especially our group voluntary products.
6:23 And more importantly, we maintained strong premium persistency of 79.3% and increased net earned premium of 3.5% for the quarter. We continue to focus on driving our profitable growth with strong underwriting discipline and maintaining strong premium persistency. We believe this will continue to drive net earned premium growth. At the same time, Aflac U. S. Has continued its prudent approach to expense management and maintaining a strong pretax margin, as Max will expand upon shortly. Across Japan and The United States, consumers are feeling the increasing burden of out of pocket medical expenses.
7:14 That's where we step in. Our management teams, employees and sales distribution partners are united to be there for the policyholders when they need us most. As the pioneer in cancer insurance and a leader in the industry, our team and sales partners show up every day to help ease the burden, providing financial protection with genuine compassion and care. As an insurance company, our primary responsibility is to fulfill the promises we make to the policyholders while being responsive to the needs of shareholders. We generated strong capital and cash flows on an ongoing basis while maintaining our commitment to prudent liquidity and capital management.
8:05 We continue to be pleased with our investments, producing solid investment income. Our financial strength is the foundation that backs up our promise to our policyholders, balanced with the financial flexibility and tactical capital deployment. I am very pleased with the company's financial strength, which supports our capital deployment. We treasure our forty three consecutive years of dividend increases and remain committed to extending this record. Combining share repurchase and dividends, we delivered $1,300,000,000 back to the shareholders in the first quarter. In doing so, we have maintained our position among companies with the highest return on capital and the lowest cost of capital in the industry.
8:59 In today's complex health care environment, AFLAC stands out as a trusted partner combining relevant products, financial strength, a powerful brand and broad distribution to help consumers manage the financial strain of out of pocket medical expenses. The ongoing foundational strengths of our business and our capacity for continued growth in Japan and The United States, two of the largest life insurance markets in the world, support our leading position and build on our momentum. I will now turn the program over to Max to cover more details of the financial results.
9:44 Max? Thank you, Dan. For the first quarter of twenty twenty six, adjusted earnings per diluted share increased 6.6% year over year to $1.77 excluding effect of foreign currency in the quarter. In this quarter, remeasurement gains on reserves totaled $82,000,000 reducing benefits, with $23,000,000 or $04 per diluted share above plan. Variable investment income ran $14,000,000 or $02 per diluted share below our long term return expectations. Adjusted book value per share, excluding foreign currency remeasurement, increased 0.2%. The adjusted ROE was 12.816.4% excluding foreign currency remeasurement, a solid spread to our cost of capital.
10:38 Overall, we view these results in the quarter as solid. Starting with our Japan segment, net earned premiums in yen terms for the quarter declined 3.8%. AFLAC Japan's underlying earned premiums, which excludes the impact of reinsurance, paid off policies and deferred profit liability declined 1.3%. We believe this metric provides a clearer insight into long term premium trends. Japan's total benefit ratio came in at 62.9% for the quarter, down two ninety basis points year over year. We estimate the impact from reserve remeasurement gains exceeding plan to be approximately 70 basis points.
11:25 We continue to have favorable trends in cancer and hospitalization. While persistency was down, it remained strong and in line with our expectations at 92.8%. We continue to see an uptick in lapse and reissue on our cancer insurance product. Lapses on our first sector savings block remain low and in line with previous periods despite the increase in yen interest rates. Our expense ratio in Japan was 19.5% for the quarter, down 10 basis points year over year. For the quarter, adjusted net investment income in yen terms was up 4%, primarily driven by higher U. S. Dollar fixed rate income on higher volume and higher variable net investment income compared to last year, partially offset by lower dollar denominated floating rate income due to lower volume and rates as well as reduced call income.
12:24 The pretax margin for Japan in the quarter was 35%, up three twenty basis points year over year, a very good result. Turning to U. S. Results. Net earned premiums were up 3.5%. Premium persistency remained solid at 79.3%. Our total benefit ratio came in at 47.2%, 50 basis points lower than Q1 twenty twenty five, driven by favorable incurred claims for individual voluntary benefits products and group disability. We estimate that reserve remeasurement gains impacted the benefit ratio by approximately two thirty basis points in the quarter, which is about 80 basis points above plan. Our expense ratio in The U. S. Was 38.3%, up 70 basis points year over year, primarily driven by higher DAC amortization and commissions along with timing of advertising and investment spend.
13:26 Adjusted net investment income in The U. S. Was down 0.5% for the quarter, primarily driven by lower short term rates offset by higher variable net investment income. Profitability in The U. S. Segment was solid with a pretax margin of 20.4%, a 40 basis points decrease compared with a strong quarter a year ago. Corporate and Other reported breakeven pretax adjusted earnings, down from a $43,000,000 gain last year, driven by lower adjusted net investment income, high interest expense and operating costs and runoff impacts from closed blocks of business. Adjusted net investment income was $17,000,000 lower than last year due to a combination of lower hedge benefits, partially offset by lower volume of tax credit investments.
14:21 Our tax credit investments impacted a net investment income line for U. S. GAAP purposes negatively by $5,000,000 in the quarter with an associated credit to the tax line. There were no benefit in first quarter earnings from tax credit investments. We are pleased with the overall performance of our investment portfolio. During the quarter, we recorded $19,000,000 of charge offs on our loan portfolio. Additionally, we did not foreclose on any properties in the period. We recorded $24,000,000 of impairments on our real estate owned portfolio to reflect the continued depressed valuations in the commercial real estate markets. However, we continue to believe that the current distressed market does not reflect the true intrinsic value of our portfolio, which is why we continue to manage them through this cycle and maximize our recoveries.
15:16 For U. S. Statutory, we recorded $12,000,000 of impairments on invested assets and a $1,000,000 valuation allowance on mortgage loans as an unrealized loss during the quarter. On a Japan FSA basis, securities impairments reversals led to a net realized gain of 66,000,000 yen in Q1, and we booked a valuation allowance of $2.00 1,000,000 yen related to transitional real estate loans. This is well within our expectations and has a limited impact on regulatory earnings and capital. Effective March 31, AFLAC Re Bermuda entered into a transaction in which it assumed a block of whole life annuities from Japan Post Insurance.
16:04 This transaction itself is immaterial to AFLAC Inc. Financials, but it marks a strategic milestone as we expand our reinsurance franchise targeting the Japan market. AFLAC Inc. Unencumbered liquidity stood at $3,400,000,000 which was $2,400,000,000 above our minimum balance of $1,000,000,000 at the end of the quarter. Our adjusted leverage was 21.2% for the quarter, which is within our target range of 20% to 25%. As we hold approximately 65% of our debt in yen, this leverage ratio is impacted by moves in the yen dollar exchange rate. This is intentional and part of our enterprise hedging program protecting the economic value of Aflac Japan in U. S. Dollar terms. Our capital position remains strong. We ended the quarter with an estimated regulatory ESR of 227%.
17:06 If including the Undertaking Specific Parameter or USP, this would add 16 points to the regulatory ratio and result in an ESR with USP of 243%. We estimate our combined RBC to be approximately five sixty percent. These are strong capital ratios, which we actively monitor, stress and manage to withstand market volatility and credit cycles as well as external shocks. Given the strength of our capital and liquidity, we repurchased $1,000,000,000 of our own stock and paid dividends of $315,000,000 in Q1, offering good relative IRR on these capital deployments. We will continue to be flexible and tactical in the way we manage the balance sheet and deploy capital in order to drive strong risk adjusted ROE with a meaningful spread to our cost of capital.
18:01 I will now turn the call back over to David. Thank you, Max. Before we begin our Q and A, we ask that you please limit yourself to one initial question and a related follow-up. You may then rejoin the queue to ask additional questions. Our operator for today's call will now give you instructions on how to rejoin the queue and then announce our first question. And our first question comes from Tom Gallagher of Evercore ISI.
19:01 Please go ahead. Good morning. First question is just on capital generation. Max, can you talk about can you help quantify how much benefit you got from that external reinsurance deal? And were there any ESR headwinds that emerged in Japan that might have impacted things? So the reinsurance transaction we executed in the first quarter with an external party, the impacts to capital were relatively small. This was a relatively small block in the scheme of compared to the overall enterprise. So it wasn't really meaningful to either the ESR or FSA earnings in the quarter.
19:49 And in terms of the movements in the ESR, as we recall, we're down a little bit compared to the full year. The main driver of that is subsidiary dividends being moved up from AFLAC Japan to the holding company in the quarter. Other than that, you have our sensitivities and they work pretty well in terms of estimating the other impacts. Obviously, higher yen rates has a slightly negative impact to the ESR because of the increased capital charge associated with mass lapse risk. At the same time, you also saw a little bit of yen weakening that is benefiting the ESR. So relatively small impact from capital markets inputs to the ESR.
20:38 Okay. Thanks for that. And then my follow-up is just, can you I think there was a change in the lapse in reissue activity during the quarter. Normally, it's much older policies and it was less so this quarter. Can you talk about what does that mean for from an IRR perspective for AFLAC when there is somewhat younger customers that are doing lapse and reissue? Are those still positive IRRs when you think about your economics? Thanks. Thank you, Tom. So when you have a policy that is a little bit shorter in its duration because that policy is now lapsing and now moving into a new policy, what tends to happen in that scenario is obviously the policyholder is doing this for in order to get a better coverage.
21:38 And once you have gotten that better coverage, you're probably more likely to improve the persistency post the lapse and reissue activity. So when you think overall, we think when we analyze this through the totality of the overall block relatively minor impacts on the IRRs. There will be if you take a snapshot of one specific policy that just lapsed, obviously that IRR is a little bit lower than originally assumed. But we now think about that new policy, it is moving into the duration of that policy is likely to be longer and that might actually improve the IRR of that new policy that is being written. So that is sort of working a little bit as a balancing impact.
22:24 So the overall impact to IRRs across the whole in force is expected to be quite minor. Okay. Thanks. The next question comes from Ryan Krueger of KBW. Please go ahead. Hey, thanks. Good morning. I had a question on the Japan benefit ratio. It's towards the high end of your target in the quarter and a little bit above, I guess, excluding favorable experience. Can you just talk about the key drivers of expected improvement in the benefit ratio as the year goes on towards the 60% to 63% outlook? Yes. Thank you, Ryan. So when we think about the different drivers being underlying experience that being the lower net premium ratio established in the third quarter of last year and then also different types of lapse activity.
23:28 We would expect going forward the favorable experience that we did have in this quarter and we've had for a long time. We think that we will continue to generally have those trends in place. When we think about the net premium ratio that has been set more or less and that's more driven by mix of business as it relates to the current year benefit ratio. And obviously, we will update our net premium ratio with our long term assumption unlock in the third quarter of this year. And then the last piece being the mix of lapsation. We did have a mix in this quarter with a little bit less of old age cancer and a little bit higher lapsation of more recently issued policies.
24:22 And when that happens, you naturally have less of an impact on the reported GAAP benefit ratio, because the younger policies have less of a reserve being built up relative to old policies, especially old policies with the CSV could have quite an impact on the reported benefit ratio given the release of those reserves. So as we then think about these impacts and trends running through our results for the full year, we still feel very confident with the outlook range that we gave at the beginning of the year of 60% to 63% for the Japan benefit ratio. Great. Thanks. And then you did I know it's smaller as a starting point, but on the first third party Japan reinsurance transaction, but could you talk a little bit about how big of an opportunity you think that is for AFLAC, I guess, time? And could that move the needle some on your growth in Japan?
25:27 Well, these transactions while this one was a relatively small transaction, could be material to us over time. These can be pretty sizable blocks when executed, and they would then be immediately accretive to our earnings profile. So Japan obviously is a very sizable market. I don't think that we will target the whole market. We will be selective in the way we approach it both in terms of the target niches and also the type of products and risks that we go after. But it's obvious to us that we think that we have a balance sheet that is quite attractive for counterparties to transact with a AA rating. We think that we have certain expertise in how to navigate and transact in the Japanese market.
26:26 And we now built a platform that is ready to do so. So we do think that adding also some risks, I. E. That being mortality, longevity risk and spread risk to our balance sheet can be quite attractive to us from a risk management standpoint as well. So there are many factors at play that makes this quite attractive from a financial standpoint for us. So I think this will be it will take time for this to build up. But over time, we certainly expect that this would be material to the company. Thank you. The next question comes from Wes Carmichael of Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.
27:20 Hey, thank you. Good morning. First question on Japan cancer sales, Moraito, do you expect sales to sequentially improve in the next quarter relative to the first quarter? I know it's competing a bit now with the new medical product. Medical cancer reinsurance Miraito's momentum is continuing, and we expect the 2026 sales to be equivalent to the 2025.
28:27 We have created a system whereby the entire three products starting with the cancer insurance Miraito, medical insurance Anshin Pallet and Sumitas to be sold concurrently. Thank you. Appreciate that. And then second question just was on the corporate segment. I know it was breakeven in the quarter, maybe a little bit of impact from tax credits, but it's bounced around a little bit. I was wondering, Max, is there any help you can give us with an expected run rate of earnings power there? And I realize there's a few moving pieces. Yes. So you tell me where short term rates are going to go and I'll give you the answer is a little bit of the how this works.
29:13 The main driver that is swinging our corporate and other segment around is the net investment income that we generate on our cash and liquid assets. So obviously, on how much capital we hold at the holdco times the short term rates to some extent drives that. The other component to it is we this is where we hold our internal sorry, all our reinsurance treaties. And because these are runoff blocks, there's a natural decay roughly about 8% per year. So that also drives down the earnings contribution year over year unless we add and do more either internal or external transactions adding to the earnings of that segment.
30:05 So as we go into Q2 right now, I would say that I would expect this segment to be slightly negative in terms of pretax earnings given current volumes and rates and what we see from our reinsurance blocks. Thank you. Next question comes from Joel Hurwitz of Dowling and Partners. Please go ahead. Hey, good morning. Matt and Max, I wanted to go back to the external reinsurance transaction that you did with some of your first sector business in Japan. If I look at the ceded premiums and the tick up quarter over quarter, it looked like you had like a 1.5 impact to net earned premium. Should we think that the earnings impact is similar to that premium impact over time? Or is there another way we should be thinking about earnings impact from that deal?
31:02 So on that transaction, it negatively impacted our AFLAC Japan earnings in the first quarter by mid single digit U. S. Dollars millions. That transaction or that block of business will initially have a negative impact along those lines for the next couple of quarters. But then over time, it will go towards more of a zero impact. So in the near term, we expect a negative earnings impact from that ceded business and that it will go closer to zero over time as those policies reach paid up status. Got it. That's helpful.
31:48 And then switching to The U. S, there were some headlines in the past month that a state regulator was forcing rate cuts on some of your products. Are you seeing pressure from other states? Just how should we think about a potential impact to top line or earnings in The U. S? Hey, good morning, Joel. This is Virgil. No, we're not seeing any additional pressure like that, as a matter of fact, in The U. S. I'm pleased with how we are looking going forward with the year. It's still we're still being consistent and balanced with our approach, but we're really seeing no material impacts at all. Got it. Thanks Virgil.
32:37 The next question comes from Suneet Kamath of Jefferies. Please go ahead. Great. Thank you. Good morning. Just wanted to start on strategy maybe with Dan. So this reinsurance opportunity in Japan sounds interesting, I guess another read could be sort of it's an indication that maybe the core business over there has less growth than maybe it previously did and you're looking for other opportunities to sort of stimulate growth. So just curious, is that not the right read of this? No. What I would say is that we're always looking for opportunities. Our position on reinsurance was as we've taken a slow methodical approach by starting by doing a reinsurance with another company, then we ended up taking it internally.
33:30 And what we've seen is success in the reinsurance business for us. And now the next thing is to do a deal with our biggest and closest partner, Japan Post. And then from there, we'll see where it goes. We still believe there's a lot of opportunity to grow our business in Japan. And so this is a natural fit for us that we'll continue to watch. But what I like is evolution, not revolution. And so we continue to methodically take this on and continue to grow the business. Got it. Okay. And then I guess for Virgil, last quarter you gave us some good color in terms of the mix of sales, sort of the group business versus kind of the core agent business. Just wondering if you could give us an update on what happened here in the first quarter and how you think things will trend for the balance of the year? Thanks.
34:36 Yes. Thank you. So I was mentioning to just Dan, overall, I'm pleased with the quarter. It's consistent, it's balanced. The color I gave on the group business, I'll give you some more insight, very similar. So in the quarter, if you look at what we file as group product, that would include our dental and vision line, our core VB, and then you look at what we've been doing now with our group life and absence disability. If you add those three categories up, we're up about twelve point four percent for the quarter. What we've been calling by the bills, this is the investment we made with the dental and vision property. What we made, we were calling it Plast, let's just call it group life absence and disability. And then with our direct to consumer platform that we refer to as consumer markets. When you add the three of those two those three entities up, the buy the bills, we were up 25% for the quarter. So strong performance.
35:31 Very, very pleased with those. If you look at the dental and vision property, I fell on the sword maybe a couple over a year ago and told you that we're going to invest in improving that business and get it back going. So we're up 52% for the quarter. Strong performance. I believe that the we'll to see solid performance in those categories. And again, I am pleased with how we're trending. And overall, you add in the point the fact that we still have consistent strong persistency, 79.3% and that is how you're seeing though the overall increase in our premium income at 3.5%. If you look at the premium income, since the pandemic, we've seen steady increase and now, I'm pleased with where we're sitting with that metric.
36:25 But is the core business like the agent business shrinking still or what like what's going on with that piece? Yes. That's why you don't see the overall tremendous growth that you've seen in just the group space. That particular business we've got some investments we're doing right now to try to get growth out of that business. What you're seeing right now is slightly down to flat. What's going to improve that is our continued focus on recruiting agents and then making sure that we convert those agents. So in the first quarter, we had a 16% conversion rate of new agents. That's where I continue to focus and we continue to have strong productivity. The productivity with our agent group was about 8%.
37:12 So that's our continued focus. But you're right, we're not seeing growth out of our core traditional business. We've also invested in improving and enhancing our enrollment process. What that really means is we've made it easier for new agents to be on boarded and have given them tools where they can go out and sell quickly and get going. We all know that when you're in a market where you're having people come on that are getting paid commission, the best thing to do is get money in their hands as quickly as possible and get some accounts in the book. There's a metric that I monitor behind the scenes called new agent success. And what that really measures is, can we get an agent to produce about 25,000 in the first three months and add three new accounts and that metric is up also 8%.
38:03 So I think we're headed in the right direction. But with the market going toward group product and then group product continuing to go toward the smaller employee groups down now to 100 and some below 100 lines, we just had to continue to make sure that we are putting innovative product and technology and that's what we're investing in. Okay. Thanks. Next question comes from Jack Matten of BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Hey, good morning. Just a follow-up on The U. S. Business. I guess just given there's been some kind of incremental impacts from inflation and higher gas prices in recent months, is AFLAC seeing anything changing around consumer behavior for voluntary products or regarding agent recruiting? It sounds like you just like your persistency has been stable so far, but just wondering if there's any other perspective you'd offer. So I think one of your peers caught up somewhat lower VB persistency.
39:10 Well, thank you for the question. No, you can see our persistency has maintained consistent and actually we had been showing steady increase. So that 79.3 is strong. So we haven't seen an impact of that. Recruiting is tough in the market. It's not easy, but however, I can tell you that we're going to be on track to recruit about consistent where we've been for the last two or three years. We've been in that 10,000 to 11,000 range now. That's what I expect to see again this year. But again, the focus would be on taking those and making sure we convert and making sure we maintain those going forward. But we're not seeing any material impact that's worthy of calling out. Got it. That's helpful. Thanks. And then maybe just a follow-up on the Japan business growth outlook.
40:00 I mean, AFLAC has been seeing very strong sales growth following the marketing transformation you all did and the new product introductions over the past year. But that underlying earned premium growth rate still hasn't gone to the tick higher. So just wondering what if anything you think would need to change that inflection to occur. Dan? Yoshizumi? Well, I'll take it, guess. Go ahead. Excuse me. Could you say that question once again, please? Yes. I mean, in light of strong sales growth that AFLAC had over the past year or so, it's been impressive, but the underlying kind of earned premium growth rate still hasn't picked higher.
40:56 So just wondering what would need to change for that inflection to occur? Maybe I can kick it off and maybe AFLAC and Ken can add to the answer. If you look at the profile of earned premium, we are currently sort of running relatively predictable lapsation in about roughly JPY 90,000,000,000 right now. And that means that in order to get back to earned premium growth, that's the kind of sales level that you basically need to get to in order to achieve zero or flat in force period over period on an annual basis.
41:48 So that's what we need to get to. Obviously, AFLAC Japan has a strategy that they're executing on. And in that, we have a line of sight of getting to that level. So over time, we do expect to get to both flat and in to the growth mode as it relates to earned premium as well. But for the time being, we have been sort of hovering in this range of negative 1% to 2% on the underlying earned premium, and that's what we expect for the full year. This is Koide speaking from AFLAC Japan. Our mid term management strategy is to grow the new business and by doing so, we aim to stop the stagnation of the earned premium.
42:59 Thank you. The next question comes from Wilma Buridis of Raymond James. Please go ahead. Hey, good morning. Leverage has been declining again. Does AFLAC have plans to raise any debt? And if so, could you talk a little bit about uses of capital? I think in addition to that, you have quite a bit of excess capital. So maybe just talk a little bit about that. Thanks. Yes. Thank you, Wilma. So leverage down to 21.2%. That is partially a function of the yen dollar exchange rate. As you may recall, we hold about two thirds of our debt denominated in yen and one third in U. S. Dollars. And this is a part of our enterprise FX hedging program that we run-in order to neutralize the impact from the yen dollar exchange rate to the overall enterprise.
43:59 What that means is that as we operate within the leverage corridor of 20% to 25%, we have significant benefits from borrowing in yen that being from a lowering risk standpoint as it relates to FX to enterprise, also accessing a broader investor base and also accessing lower interest rates, all of those very beneficial to us. But what it also means is that it does expose our leverage ratio to volatility in the yen dollar exchange rate. So we need to stress test that and make sure that we can we don't necessarily breach the leverage corridor even in a significant yen strengthening scenario.
44:44 So that's why we always sort of stress test that and under different scenarios, especially when we are looking to add new debt to our capital structure. At this point in time, we don't have any real plans to increase our leverage per se. We have significant capital and liquidity at the holding company in order to deploy that into our operations and also back to shareholders. And we have significant flexibility across the company as it relates to the capital that we hold inside of the regulated entities. And layer on top of that, the ability to then also utilize reinsurance to both create in the near term more capital and eventually further liquidity available to the holding company gives us puts us in a very strong position to execute whatever plans we want to execute on.
45:51 Thank you, Max. AFLAC has so much excess capital, that's really the number one question I get is there what can you do with that? Is pursuing these external reinsurance deals something that you think you could deploy more sizable amounts of capital? And if so, what would you look for in a larger deal? Thanks. So as it relates to our external reinsurance strategy, that is something that will consume capital. That being said, I don't expect it to be consuming that much capital that it would alter our capital deployment back to shareholders as we have pursued over the last couple of years. This is more as an add on strategy. And if we can do that at good IRRs and grow our overall business and earnings power, we think that that can be quite beneficial overall to the company. And certainly also it would diversify our earnings stream a little bit and also diversify the risk profile of the company, all of those being ultimately positive.
46:58 Thank you. The next question comes from Pablo Singleton of JPMorgan. Please go ahead. Hi, thank you. So first on The U. S. Benefits ratio, sort of the reverse of Brian's question. So 1Q was much better than your outlook. Is there any reason why the benefit ratio should increase from here? Or basically is your view that claims are just too good in 1Q? Thank you, Pablo. So the benefit ratio guidance for the full year remains 48% to 52%. In the first quarter, we did benefit from remeasurement gains that was over and above our internal expectations by about 80 basis points.
47:44 So on an underlying basis, if I add back those 80 basis points puts our first quarter underlying benefit ratio spot on 48%, I. E. At the very low end of the full year range. In this quarter, we did benefit both from favorable experience on cancer, but we also benefited from a low benefit ratio on our group disability block as well. This is something that can be quite volatile from quarter to quarter. So I would keep that in mind. So while we're very encouraged by the start of the year, we still think that 48% to 52% is a good range for the full year for our U. S. Benefit ratio.
48:33 Thanks Max. And then my second question, other group insurance companies have started talking more about paid family leave. Can you talk about your current involvement in that product today? I think you're mostly admin services and if there are goals or intentions to eventually start fully ensuring risk at some point in the future. Thanks. Hey, good morning. This is Virgil again. So yes, let me just give you a little bit more color on our overall block in what we do. Of course, our focus is on the administrative service portion. We provide services for more than about 3,000,000 constituents out there. The main thing we talk about is the services we provide for the state of Connecticut. We want an added now the state of Maine. But we also oversee and provide services for other entities, other business entities.
49:23 Inside those business entities though, if you look at that we do provide insurance coverage also. So we get about approximately about $40,000,000 in premium on that side of the business. It's not material to our overall U. S. Block. But from administrative services fee, we get probably about $90,000,000 from that side. So it kind of gives you a little bit more color into the size. And again, it's providing services about more than 3,000,000 constituents overall. Overall, this has been very good for our overall book of business. We've been able to demonstrate that we are certainly serious and a player in this space. We provide high touch, very high standard of service.
50:12 It's excellence that we provide and we have been able to achieve and get good feedback from what we're providing those administrative services. And we look cautiously to expand where necessary out in the market because it's been a good business for us. Thanks, Rachel. Okay. The next question is a follow-up from Tom Gallagher of Evercore ISI. Please go ahead. Thanks. Just wanted to try and tie a few things together from different responses I heard to make sure I am understanding this correctly. Max, the number to get to flat premium growth in Japan, you said would require around $90,000,000,000 of yen sales for the year. Did I understand that part correctly?
51:11 Yes, you did. Okay. And then I think the earlier response on the expectation for Japan sales for '26 was the same level as '25, which was 74,000,000,000 yen So that would leave you about 15,000,000,000 yen 16,000,000,000 yen short. Is that the right math to think about here? Well, let me just say, this is Dan. Think the number will be higher than last year's number. Got you. So Dan, you expect and if you wouldn't mind opining a little bit further on that, Dan, what are you thinking overall relative $74,000,000,000 was the baseline for 2025? How do you what's your best guess for how that emerges in 2026?
52:07 Well, I would say closer to 80. That's what I'd like. Now I'm not going to say that the company won't be satisfied with a little less, but I'd like 80. And you want to talk a little bit about the product then? Yes, go ahead. Yes, just to say, you can see just looking at consistency now with the growth we're seeing in the new cancer product. You can also see though that Onion Palette, the medical product we introduced to the market, has come out strong in Q1. So we are very encouraged by the new sales of those two products. And then we continue to be focused on Sumataz. Sumataz came out very strong for us, but we're still adjusting our rates when necessary and we're still being a major player in there. So when you combine those three things, think that's what has us all encouraged about what we're seeing with AFLAC Japan.
53:09 Okay. Thanks. This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to David Young for any closing remarks. Thank you, Andrea, and thank you all for joining us this morning for our call. If you have any additional questions, please reach out to the Investor and Rating Agency Relations team. We'll be happy to follow-up, and we look forward to talking to you soon. Have a great day. The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation, and you may now disconnect.
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Senior Vice President of Capital Markets
Chairman and CEO, Aflac Incorporated
Senior Executive Vice President and CFO, Aflac Incorporated
President, Aflac Incorporated and Aflac U.S.
President and Representative Director, Aflac Life Insurance Japan
Analyst, Evercore ISI
Analyst, KVW
Analyst, Wells Fargo
Analyst, Dowling and Partners
Analyst, Jefferies
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets
Analyst, Raymond James
Analyst, J.P. Morgan