Automated transcript · Written by software from the replay's audio. It can mishear names and figures; the replay is the record.
6:51 A lot of people, when we first start talking about sort of what we do at 5E, there's a fair amount that have a response of what exactly is Boron, or I've never heard of Boron, or what is Boron used in. What we've done here is just taken a snapshot of some of the different applications. Today, there are over 300 applications in the market that incorporate boron in some way, shape, or form. So if we start over, if you're looking at the deck, we start over on the right-hand side. Let's talk about the traditional uses, right? So traditional uses of sort of lower-end glass products, things like ceramics, cleaning agents, detergents, solvents, items like that, that traditionally boric acid has been used as an input.
7:42 So going all the way back into the early 1920s and 30s, the old Borax laundry detergent. That was really sort of where things kind of started. Now, then, as you move from the left to the, or sorry, to the, from the right, to the left hand side of the page, you start to go up the value chain, right? So food security, boron itself is a micronutrient. In fact, boron as a micronutrient is incorporated in just about every MPK blend on the planet. So regardless of what crop you're farming and what area of the globe, you're applying things like zinc and boron along with your nitrogen, your phosphates, your potassium, your magnesium, calcium, and sulfur, right? So even as, if we look as a macro trend at what the population growth will do, right? We're 8.2, 8.3 billion people on the planet, forecasted to grow over 9 billion by the year 2050. What does that mean? More food, we've got shrinking amounts of available land, So you've got to get more precise with your crop nutrient input. That unlocks an opportunity for Boron to play in the food security space.
8:53 As we go into the green energy transition, right, clean energy and making that clean energy more efficient, You look at things like solar panels, where borosilica glass sits on the outside of the solar panels. Boron is a very resistant, high tensile strength product. So the better quality glass that you can put on those solar panels with boric acid being an input, you just have to simply look at the growth of solar in the, you know, the forecasted growth of solar in the next 5, 10, 20 years, and you can see the world is going to start to need so much more boron and boric acid to go into those. A really big driver of the boron growth or the forecast of boron growth is in wind turbines.
9:40 So it goes into a couple of different capacities in a wind turbine. So in the construct of the wind turbine blade itself, the fiberglass that is used in those blades, boric acid is a large input, but predominantly the permanent magnets that actually turn the motors of the turbine, right, you have ferroboron steel that goes into that permanent magnet, right? So an NDFEB, permanent magnet, is the most commonly used and commonly consumed permanent magnet on the planet. You essentially have 2 parts rare earth and one part boron. So you see in vogue today the need for more rare earths. So we'll follow the need for boron, right? Because that ferroboron steel is ultra important into your incorporation of the magnet technologies.
10:31 While we're on the topic of ferroboron, ferroboron goes into the chassis for all electric vehicles. It's even being incorporated into gasoline powered vehicles because it's lighter, it makes the vehicle more efficient, but also has a higher tensile strength. But then when you go into the EV sector you look at things like those same permanent magnets, you look at acoustic and sound and heat insulation, you look at the touch screens and the electronics in all electric vehicles and other gasoline power vehicles. All of those screens incorporate boric acid in some way, shape or form. So there's just a wide variety of use for boron, boric acid into all of these different applications.
11:18 And as I mentioned in earlier remarks, boric acid is an input into over 300 products today. So your daily life revolves around having boric acid into some of the products. It's just one of the best kept secrets right now. And that's one of the things we're trying to do here at 5E is get the mainstream to understand just how important
26:23 What I've noticed about boron is I've seen a lot of similarities with an element or metal that I was looking into before. This is the first time I'm listening to anything about Boron and I see a lot of parallels to phosphate in regards to supply constraints. In terms of phosphate, I believe it's Morocco. In this term, it's Turkey. You said 85% from 2 producers. Could you elaborate a little further on that breakdown? Who are they is 1 American 1 Turkey? Sure. Absolutely I can and And I'm happy to also draw parallels on a couple of different other materials that are probably similar. I will also comment on phosphate. I spent 12 years in the specialty fertilizer sector.
27:13 So I understand that market probably better than the average person out there. So yes, 2 producers essentially dominate the market right now. So Rio Tinto has call it 22, 23% of the borate production today. That is a mine that they've been operating in excess of a hundred years. It isn't a core part of their business, right? So a lot of times we get a question, well, If Rio was only 80 miles from you, does it make sense for them to come in and acquire you? This really, this has been a historical asset. They're not in the boron business per se, right? If you're iron ore, if you're copper, if you've got, you know, 2 centuries of a mine life, that's more the, the, you know, the size and really what a large company like Rio Tinto looks for. I spent a little bit of time in, in Anglo American, which is also a large, a large global miner. So I understand the portfolio and sort of the profile of what they look for. So we really aren't an acquisition target for Rio.
28:25 There's a Turkish government-owned entity called Eti Madin. Again, it's a government-owned entity, so there's no investment opportunity there. They do operate 5 different mines that are at capacity right now. They do sit on 72% of the world's reserves, but for them to bring more product into the market is going to require infrastructure investment. Right. And so there is a building and a growing theory that even if they do decide to bring on more capacity, where the most likely expansion is going to be is in into the advanced derivatives market. Right. So the boron oxides, the boron carbides, the boron nitrides, margins are much better there. They do already have an established portfolio.
29:11 So feeding the spot market probably doesn't make a lot of sense for them. So that's what the current market looks like. Phosphates, very similar. One of the things I didn't mention that I have mentioned in previous presentations is there's not a lot of boron deposits out there. There's only 6 overall identified junior projects and of those 6, 5 of them have either don't have fully permitted or have been rejected from a technical processing rationale. So when you look at new capacity, there is one place to look. That's 5E. Phosphates, no different. Phosphates are essentially a product of dried up seabeds, fossils that have transformed over a period of year, centuries, millennials, if you will.
30:09 So you typically will find a phosphate deposit on the edge of an ocean or some part of a seabed. The boron deposits are even that much more geologically complex. You also need to have outside of an evaporate sea basin, you need to have volcanic activity, you also need to have a felt basin that sits in and essentially traps that product so that it can form over centuries. And so I would argue that we're even that much more scarce than the phosphate sector because of all the other geological challenges you have and then you mix in that there's different types of borates. You've got calcium and salt-based borates, which is what we're mining, much more easier to process, versus a silica or a sand-based borate deposit, which is what a lot of the new deposits actually sit in. So, there are some similarities.
31:04 You can also look back 10 years ago at what lithium, when lithium sort of got became in vogue, rare earths are now sort of the sexy thing in the battery material space. But All of that stuff has another input to make those products run and that's Boron. So, you know, you can look and you can draw a pretty simple conclusion, but the likelihood of us following some of those patterns is pretty high. Interesting. Yeah. So with phosphate, as to my knowledge, there's only 3 publicly traded investment vehicles, maybe a couple more. And for Boron, it's really Rio Tinto and 5Es. There are no other publicly listed players out there? What I would challenge that an investment in Rio isn't an investment in boron.
31:55 It's an investment in iron or in copper. So again, if you'd like the global thematics, where the energy transition is going, you understand the inputs needed for permanent magnets and electric vehicles, we are truly the investment of choice for boron. Any other upstart potential boron project, and there is one other identified project in North America that isn't permitted, but it's really a lithium project that has boron as a co-product. We're in reverse. We do have lithium as a co-product of what we're doing, but we are the place to invest if you want to invest in the upside of boron.
32:43 Great, excellent. So I'm going to tie into one more supply-demand question here. I see in 2026, it looks like to 2028, there's gonna be a little bit of growth both in the United States and Turkey. You said that Turkey's at full capacity though. So interested to hear about these projections and just a second question to tie on from the chat here. Rock was asking, he was just reading that boron use in oil and gas industry is on the decline. Do you agree? Will this decline offset the growth of boron needed in the EV world? So it does it does have an application in the oil and gas industry and I'm not going to pretend to be an oil and gas expert. It also does have applications in things like coal refining, right? And there are some studies that you can find out there that says that if you coat brown coal or you incorporate boron into the processing of coal, it actually will burn and be able to be processed at a lower temperature, thus drawing the conclusion that emissions will be lower.
33:57 So there is an application there. It's something that you'd have to study. You'd have to get into the coal refinery and scrubbers. So, you know, you'd have to, to look at that. A lot of the, what you see in that supply demand imbalance, anything for sort of Turkey, we would forecast that that demand and I should say this is a Credit Suisse study and I didn't mention the bank before but this is actually an information that comes from a Credit Suisse study. You will more than likely see a little bit of incremental, I would say, maybe production, but in all reality, where you're gonna see any growth coming out of Turkey will be in the advanced materials space. So I would offer that we aren't tied so much to the petroleum industry, to the oil and gas sector, even to the coal sector, really where I think investors that are considering looking at adding us to the portfolio, you really want to look at the green energy transition. And you want to look at things like permanent magnets specifically, the growth of wind turbines, the need for more wind farms, solar farms.
35:17 And you have to take a view on EVs, but you know, there's 6 or 7 applications in every electric vehicle. Whether that's going to grow domestically will depend on things like the power grid. It certainly will grow globally and the need for the product sort of speaks for itself. One of the comments I have made in other presentations that I didn't make in this presentation is right now there's no known substitute for Boron. So you take the demand, you take the need for more of those green technologies and you need Boron just to keep up with the growth of those products. Thank you for that. We do have questions piling up, so this looks great. I'm gonna just go in order for now. Adrian's asking, any more detail on 2025 critical mineral designation?
36:05 How optimistic are we that Boron will make the list? It's certainly something that we're excited about. You know, we, about a month and a half ago, we released something to the market that essentially showcased that we had 10 representatives or members of Congress pan a ladder to the USGS, encouraging them to add boron to the critical minerals list. Boron is one of those elements that are, it's just really, it's right on the cusp. Almost made the list, the last go around. We've increased our lobby support. Also, I would also add that last year we were able to put out another release that said that Boron itself is now listed in the appropriations language.
36:57 And essentially what that is, is when the Department of defense goes for their military budget on an annual basis. Now, by law, they have to identify where their boron is coming from, and they have it identified as a single point of failure in the supply chain based on its reliance for countries like China and Russia. So we have moved the needle. We have raised the profile very much so in the US government. The USGS list falls underneath the Department of the Interior. We did have members of all forms, DOD, USGS, and the DOE come out and do a site visit last year. We have made the offer to have them come out now that the plant is going operational.
37:45 I think we're doing everything we possibly can to move that needle. I do like our chances. We are talking about a government body, which, you know, won't move as fast as most of our shareholders and stakeholders would like. But we're in the ring and we're continuing to make progress. We're continuing to raise the profile. We brief the steering committee on a quarterly basis that ultimately make the decision. So we like the position that we put the company in to make that list. Thank you. Canyon's asking, what sort of indicators or catalysts both intra 5E and externally should investors be looking to going forward in the nearer term? So if you're referring to catalysts within the organization, so I'll answer it both ways just so I can cover the basis. So if you're looking at catalysts internally or from an execution perspective, certainly turning the plant on in a commercial capacity, getting boric acid out, getting it crystallized, getting it to spec, that's a massive catalyst.
38:54 We can then take that product, we can get it out to customers for technical validation, right, because we're going to be offering a technical grade product, which means then the customers will put it through their internal labyrinth, test it with their own products. That's going to lead to things like offtake agreements, customer financing opportunities. That'll be a catalyst. Certainly we've got a few different things from the government that we're working on. You mentioned 1 previously with the critical minerals list. That decision will be made in 2024. It will go into effect in, obviously, in the turn of the new calendar year. But we're going through that process now. We've also made a lot of progress in the areas of advancing opportunities for government finance, both from a DOE perspective and a DOD perspective.
39:49 We will give more of an update here in the coming weeks, specifically around government progress, because we've got a couple of milestones or things that we're just checking off the list here in March. So those are internal catalysts that will fall into an opportunity, so operationally, commercially, and government. Externally, you can look at everything I've been talking about in the market, right? So bringing on more green technology, looking for more ways to incorporate the product. There's so many different cutting edge things that are out there in the pharmaceutical space, in sort of the advanced technology space.
40:35 And we're going to, can just going to continue to feed the market and support the market where we can write opportunities to get, you know, third party publications covering the work acid space in the Boron market. You know, those are opportunities. So there's just, there's, there's really a lot of things that are out there. Externally. We can't really control that. What we can control is the execution, right? We're not a story company anymore. We're an execution company. We've built a facility. We need to operate the facility. We need to look for ways to operationalize and right size and, you know, and become as efficient as we possibly can. We've got to get product out to the market. We've got to sell product. So those are things that we can control and that will execute on.
41:22 The global thematics will take care of themselves because we do see a lot of similarities between where boron is today, where lithium was 8 years ago, where rare earths were 4 years ago. Thank you. Given the length of time, I don't think I need to ask DJR's question. It's pretty much the internal catalyst and you essentially stated, yeah, you're an execution story. So I'm going to pass on that EJR, but feel free to rephrase it if you think he didn't cover it well enough in that question. But this individual... I'll go ahead. I'll send my email, so if there's anything else that is needed, I'm happy to answer it. Yeah, you can find that there. Lots of press recently about lower demand for electric vehicles and that the auto companies will be scaling back plans for EV production How will this affect 5e plans?
42:15 Well, I'm gonna go back to a couple of different key points, right? And so it was one of the slides where I talked about the military applications. Specifically, yeah, you can go back. I would just go back to maybe then. That's fine. Either way is Fine. So let's start with military applications. Let's start with the fact that, you know, regardless on who occupies Congress, who occupies the White House, there are 2 bills that get funded every year, the defense bill and the farm bill. Right. And so because there are so many applications for boron into military products, and again, I covered them from body armor, to vehicle armor, to flare, propulsion, ammunition, and we're all dependent, the US government is completely dependent on China and Russia for those products.
43:14 So that that demand alone, so the need to reshore, right? And that's 1 thematic we haven't really talked about is the US government's desire to reshore critical materials. We are listed as a critical material for the Department of Defense, right? We have had boron written into the advance appropriations bill, right? We've raised the profile dramatically in the Department of Defense. That's super important. That's also a mitigation into whatever happens with the electric vehicle forecast, right? Because we're not just, I would be more, and the lowering of the demand for electric vehicles probably has a lot to do with what has happened to the lithium price in the last 12 months. We are insulated from that because we have so many more broad uses. Those 300 uses I talked about, you know, a good, you know, a majority, but a good chunk of those sitting in the defense space.
44:12 The fact that there is no substitute for, you know, ferroboron permanent magnets, the need for more wind turbines, or silica glass going in the solar panels. So look at our opportunity as a very wide range of opportunities, not tied to just 1. Eventually, will the forecast change? Will more electric vehicles be brought online, not just domestically, but globally? Yeah, absolutely. So if you take a long-term view, if you take a 5 or a 7 or a 10-year view, that will come back again. But in the interim, defense, wind, solar, that's more than enough for our product to find a home.
44:59 Any update on a royalty deal or offtake agreements? We will update the market in time. This is probably not the right forum. We are going to address those items in the next operations update. As always, those are material information, so upon the completion of those items, we certainly wouldn't be sitting back on any of that news flow, but we do plan to address it here in the next company update. Thank you. Mike's question is a little over my head so I'm going to read it verbatim but maybe it's worth elaborating. What is SOP? He says SOP was previously mentioned as a co-product at featuring Cattie.
45:47 What the status of K recovery? Okay, so SOP is essentially sulfate of potash. So there's 2 main forms of potassium that go into NPK blends or crop nutrients. You've got MOP, which is myriad of potash, which is a potassium bearing mineral that contains chloride. SOP is the mineral that strips out those chlorides and delivers a cleaner version of, of SOP or sorry, of potassium. SOP is a premium version. Now, if you go back to 2017, 2018, ABR, which was the predecessor company to 5E Advanced Materials, did have SOP as a potential product that they built a PFS around, right? And so the theory was this, you take, you input MOP, so you buy domestic MOP, You then take sulfuric acid, you mix it with the MOP, and you burn off those chlorides.
46:51 One of the byproducts of that process in a Mannheim furnace is hydrochloric acid. The theory then being that the hydrochloric acid would be diluted down and used in the mining of the borates. So that's where that is coming from. That's pretty dated information. The strategy has changed certainly in the last 5 years and we've been very, I think, transparent with the market. So that is an ABR historical part to the business strategy that I would say back in 2020, no, probably 2021 is more accurate. The business really pivoted. They made that, it predates me, but that was done for a couple of different reasons. 1, not needing as much hydrochloric acid, but also having a costly input at that time, MOP spiked pretty dramatically off the, you know, coming off the back of COVID and supply chain issues. So all of a sudden you've got a really expensive input coming in to be processed to create a much cheaper input that was needed ultimately for your Boron mining and development.
48:11 So that's the background on it. Hope it wasn't too long winded, but that's really where that came, has come from The business itself has pivoted years ago from that. Excellent. Thank you. The last question in the chat here, so we're timing this perfectly. T Sullivan says, I believe you mentioned Rio Tinto has talked before about lower boron production from their mine in California. Is Turkey ready to meaningfully increase boron production? I mean, I can't speak on behalf of the Turkish government. All we can really look at is production and capacity coming out of those mines that really sort of illustrate that there's not meaningful production that they can bring into the market without infrastructure investment.
49:01 I'm not going to comment on whether the Turkish government feels like they want to make that infrastructure investment. More product coming out of the market gives them more control of the market, which means more control of the price points. So is there a need to bring on more production when in all likelihood prices, even in the down cycle have maintained and in all likelihood in the medium and long-term are going to increase pretty dramatically. Why upset the Apple cart? I mean, and, you know, Rio has very openly and through their annual reports have shown that their production has decreased quite a bit. Their production has decreased because they're at the edge of the deposit.
49:46 They're also getting into processing issues, meaning that there's less pure ore that they're mining. So their processing costs have increased. And they've done that, you know, because it's either going to cost them a heck of a lot more to produce an equivalent amount of 3 years ago, or they take what pure ore they can get and they sell it into the market. So Rio isn't lowering production because the market doesn't need it. Rio is lowering production because they don't have the resource anymore. They know it, they've been very open about it. We interact with the mining community quite a bit obviously as an upstart new miner into that region and you know the numbers speak for itself. So you know whether Turkey decides that they're going to make a long-term infrastructure investment to increase capacity, either way you look at the growth numbers the growth far out of the forecasted growth far outweighs current production capabilities.
50:53 JT, do you have a meeting right on the hour or are you okay to answer a couple more questions? Okay to answer whatever's asked. Okay, excellent. Adrian's asking, boron spot prices seem pretty hard to pin down. Where are they at the moment? Are they trending as predicted? And if you don't mind, I'd actually add a second question to that. Is all boron created equal? Is that why it might be hard to pin down a spot price or is the different levels of quality of boron? Okay, I'm gonna try and capture it all. So the boron prices have been very consistent in the back half of 2023 and 2024. It is a very opaque market, although you can get a hold of some regularly published Chinese spot pricing.
51:47 There are a couple of well-known publications that have approached us to help educate them on the market with the ultimate intention for them to cover a bore-on-spot price. You know, we're somewhere consistently in the neighborhood of 11 to $1,200 a ton. And, and I think what's important when you look at that price, isn't the concept that the price hasn't increased. It's that things like lithium has, have decreased pretty dramatically. So when, what we'll call, you know, a leveling off of the commodity cycle, the boric acid prices has remained very consistent, which by the way, is all time high and has been all time highs for the last 4 years. Right, so if you looked at a graph, you'd have a very consistent decade over decade price, and then you would see this significant uptick to the point where it's more than double historic, or it's double historic prices over the last 4 years. And even in the down commodity cycle, we've leveled off.
52:49 As more and more manufacturing comes online, more and more production comes out of the market, you can see a very easy scenario where that price point will go on another growth trajectory again. So that's the price point, and that's the person that asked the question, correct. It is an opaque price market. It's a little bit tougher, although you can scratch below the surface and you can get pretty reliable data. What was the second part of the question? I just added on if all boron is created equal or if there's different levels and spot prices or anything like that. Great question. So not all boron is created equal. When you convert the borates into different products, you have different quality levels.
53:39 In this perspective, I'm gonna just talk about boric acid. So to get to a technical grade boric acid, you have to have a 0.9999, so 4 nines to get to a technical grade. If you are under that technical grade, you will see the opportunity for customers to do a bit of a price adjustment. Now the ability to get to that technical grade does then flow back to the ore body itself. So there are a few different families of what we call borates. I mentioned the calcium salt based borates which is culminate that's what we're mining that's what the Turks mine you have other forms like eulocyte right which have more silica in them there isn't a large-scale commercially effective way to process eulocyte into refined technical grade boric acid So a lot of those borates will go into other lower value applications.
54:43 Long-winded answer of not all borates are created equal. It all goes into the refining of those borates. But I think that the key takeaway here is our ore body mirrors exactly what the Turks mine. The Turks drive the market. The Turks get the premiums for premium products. So we love our position in the market coming in as an upstart producer. How is 5E approaching boron advanced materials such as oxides, borates, nitrides and carbides as opposed to boric acid? So I'll go back to one of the first shareholder calls that we had when Susan Brennan joined us as chief executive last April.
55:31 The strategy hasn't changed. The timing of the strategy has vacillated a little bit in the sense that you can't create advanced materials until you have boric acid out of the ground. So rather than coming out with a grandiose advanced material strategy, which we will do, and we will execute on, you need to have your captive supply of boric acid. So at that point in time, right when she joined us, and we communicated to the market, it was very simply, let's get it out of the ground. Let's get the PLS out of the ground. Let's produce technical grade boric acid. Let's produce commercial grade lithium carbonate. And then Once we do that, right, then we can look at what are the advanced materials that make the most sense. Now, one of the advancement that we have had is the US Department of Defense has approached us in a couple of different capacities, asking us about our ability to produce specifically to advanced materials.
56:33 I'm not gonna identify to the broader audience what those are, but it's done out of a need for domestic product. It's done out of a need for a very short stockpile life. And it's gonna provide us with a great opportunity. We get to that point where there's funding or commercial agreements that are sure about, we will then communicate that to the market, but you got to walk before you run. That's essentially what we've worked on is getting ourselves in a position to walk. We're at that point now, right? We get product out of the ground, we operationalize, and we get the facility very efficient, right? Keep our costs in check. Then we can look at what are the most, what advanced materials make the most sense for us as a business.
57:25 But we are going to be in the advanced materials business. It's not an if, it's a when and a what. Excellent. Thank you, JT. And you addressed everyone's questions. A little bit of a shaky start, but it turned out to be a really interesting presentation. It was really, really excellent. Any closing remarks before we close things off? And just before that, quick reminder, this is being recorded, so it will be available to watch afterwards. But if you have any closing remarks, JT. Nothing from a company perspective. I would offer to those that are either listening in live or that will listen to the replay. We are now planning on doing a lot more of these events on a real-time basis.
58:12 Our partners at SIXX have really shown to be fantastic in sort of how we're going to execute on things. This is just the first of what we believe will be many presentations, panel discussions, and opportunities to continue to broaden our reach into stakeholders. And so I would say stay tuned on our social media, stay tuned on our website, stay tuned with following 6 on their different platforms, because this is the first of many in the coming weeks, months, and years. Perfect. Thank you