Aon Plc · NYSE:AON
Aon — Corporate Update (December 2014)
66 slides from Aon's corporate update, Dec 11, 2014
Slide 1: Aon Guernsey Non-Executive Directors' Seminar
Aon Guernsey Non-Executive Directors’ Seminar 11 December 2014 Aon Risk Solutions Global Risk Consulting | Captive & Insurance Management
Slide 2: Agenda
Agenda Welcome Charles Winter – Market Review Jonathan Carter – Compliance Update Thanks Drinks & Canapés Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Captive & Insurance Management Proprietary & Confidential | December 2014 2
Slide 3: Market Review
Market Review Charles Winter, COO & Head of Risk Financing Aon Global Risk Consulting UK
Slide 4: Agenda
Agenda Insurance Market Conditions & Forecast GRIP Stats 2015 Outlook Employee Benefits BEPS – Summary & developments Terrorism changes 4 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance
Slide 5: Insurance Market Conditions & Forecast
Insurance Market Conditions & Forecast 5 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance
Slide 6: The Reinsurance Market – Opening Position
The Reinsurance Market – Opening Position Reinsurer Capital $410B The involvement of capital market investors in the reinsurance sector through non-equity participations continues to expand. This is evidenced by : record levels of catastrophe bond issuance in the first half of 2014 (exceeding th
Slide 7: Alternative Capital Inflows to Reinsurance Market
Alternative Capital Inflows to Reinsurance Market 7 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance
Slide 8: Market Summary
Market Summary Surplus capital in the system – Alternative capital continues to flow into the reinsurance market – Flow down to direct market – Insurers increasing capacity Insurer results continue to impress – Despite the low investment returns – Despite reserve releases slowing – Despite the s
Slide 9: The Reinsurance Market – Performance
The Reinsurance Market – Performance Reinsurer Performance • Underlying trends were negative, as weakening pricing and business mix changes, particularly a shift towards longer-tail proportional contracts, impacted attritional loss and expense ratios. 9 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting
Slide 10: Insurer Results – as reported September 2014
Insurer Results – as reported September 2014 H1 2014 CR H1 2013 CR H1 2014 Profit H1 2013 Profit Allianz 93.60% 95.10% €3.59bn €3.47bn ACE 88.20% 88.10% $1.51bn $1.84bn AIG 99.90% 100% $4.68bn $4.93bn QBE 96.50% 92.80% $392m $477m Zurich 96.10% 98.10% $2.10bn $1.85bn 10 Aon Risk Solutions | Global R
Slide 11: Market Conditions – GRIP Insight
Market Conditions – GRIP Insight United Kingdom US (2014) (2014) Rate Q1 Q2 Q3 (Forecast) Rate Q1 Q2 Q3 (Forecast) All LOBs +0.55% -0.33% -1.38% All LOBs +0.51% -0.61% +0.02% Motor +0.97% +4.53% +1.42% Casualty/Liability -0.44% -0.43% +0.69% Casualty/Liability +1.55% -2.17% -4.20% Property +0.79% -0
Slide 12: GRIP Statistics: UK - All Lines of Business
GRIP Statistics: UK - All Lines of Business % Change in Rate at Renewal 15.00 10.00 5.00 0.53 0.88 0.55 0.45 0.00 % -0.33 -1.38 -5.00 -10.00 -15.00 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 (Forecast) 12 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance
Slide 13: GRIP Statistics: UK - Casualty/Liability
GRIP Statistics: UK - Casualty/Liability % Change in Rate at Renewal 15.00 10.00 5.00 1.88 1.55 1.06 0.00 % -0.55 -2.17 -5.00 -4.20 -10.00 -15.00 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 (Forecast) 13 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance
Slide 14: GRIP Statistics: UK - Employers Liability
GRIP Statistics: UK - Employers Liability % Change in Rate at Renewal 15.00 10.00 5.00 1.84 0.81 0.18 0.03 0.00 % -0.45 -2.37 -5.00 -10.00 -15.00 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 (Forecast) 14 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance
Slide 15: GRIP Statistics: UK - Property
GRIP Statistics: UK - Property % Change in Rate at Renewal 15.00 10.00 5.00 0.53 0.00 % -0.74 -1.78 -1.55 -2.26 -2.00 -5.00 -10.00 -15.00 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 (Forecast) 15 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance
Slide 16: GRIP Statistics: UK - Motor
GRIP Statistics: UK - Motor % Change in Rate at Renewal 15.00 10.00 4.42 4.29 4.53 5.00 2.37 1.42 0.97 0.00 % -5.00 -10.00 -15.00 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 (Forecast) 16 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance
Slide 17: GRIP Statistics: UK – Directors & Officers
GRIP Statistics: UK – Directors & Officers % Change in Rate at Renewal 15.00 10.00 5.00 2.81 1.93 0.31 0.00 % -0.60 -1.30 -1.77 -5.00 -10.00 -15.00 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 (Forecast) 17 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance
Slide 18: GRIP Statistics: UK - Marine
GRIP Statistics: UK - Marine % Change in Rate at Renewal 15.00 10.00 5.00 0.73 0.00 % -0.82 -2.07 -5.00 -10.00 -8.83 -8.91 -10.60 -15.00 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 (Forecast) 18 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance
Slide 19: GRIP Statistics: US – All Lines of Business
GRIP Statistics: US – All Lines of Business 15.00 % Change in Rate at Renewal 10.00 5.00 1.40 0.71 0.41 0.51 0.02 0.00 % -0.61 -5.00 -10.00 -15.00 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 (Forecast) 19 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance
Slide 20: GRIP Statistics: US – Casualty/Liability
GRIP Statistics: US – Casualty/Liability 15.00 % Change in Rate at Renewal 10.00 5.00 1.94 0.95 0.73 0.69 0.00 % -0.44 -0.43 -5.00 -10.00 -15.00 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 (Forecast) 20 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance
Slide 21: GRIP Statistics: US - Property
GRIP Statistics: US - Property 15.00 % Change in Rate at Renewal 10.00 5.00 1.64 0.84 1.18 0.79 0.00 % -0.03 -0.82 -5.00 -10.00 -15.00 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 (Forecast) 21 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance
Slide 22: Natural Catastrophe Risk
Natural Catastrophe Risk Natural Hazard Risk: Absolute Economic Exposure Index 2014 22 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance 22
Slide 23: Natural Catastrophes: Q1 & Q2 2014
Natural Catastrophes: Q1 & Q2 2014 The global insurance industry covered $21bn (£12.7bn) of losses from disasters in the first half of 2014 as fewer natural catastrophes kept claims below their long-term average. The most costly insured events in the The total economic cost of first half of this yea
Slide 24: Market Conditions – on the shop floor
Market Conditions – on the shop floor Highly competitive market – Opportunity to maximise premium savings – Opportunity to review and develop coverage Organic growth for insurers is difficult to achieve – Cross selling – New products – Client management initiatives Information is still key – C
Slide 25: Market Conditions – on the shop floor
Market Conditions – on the shop floor Message consistent with 2013 Significant differentiation in insurer responses based on: Time, preparation and information = best results 25 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance
Slide 26: Market Conditions - Outlook 2015 renewal
Market Conditions - Outlook 2015 renewal Aon Benfield: “Non-traditional market participation continues Swiss Re: “The pattern of falling loss ratios has to increase with total capital at USD58.6 billion, an increase of been slowing. Future reserves changes may in more than 18 percent since year end
Slide 27: Employee Benefits Developments
Employee Benefits Developments 27 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance
Slide 28: Developments in Employee Benefits
Developments in Employee Benefits Organic Growth New Developments Adding more Of captives Premium growth Risk/HR Cross class Reinsurance policies into writing EB within captives collaboration aggregates Protection existing captives Previously New regions (e.g. Commissions to unfunded/ M&A Interventi
Slide 29: Base Erosion & Profit Shifting
Base Erosion & Profit Shifting 29 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance
Slide 30: Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (BEPS) – Recent Developments
Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (“BEPS”) – Recent Developments BEPS refers to tax planning strategies that exploit gaps and mismatches in tax rules to artificially shift profits to low or no-tax locations where there is little or no economic activity, resulting in little or no overall corporate tax
Slide 31: Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (BEPS) – Continued
Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (“BEPS”) – Continued Captives have been specifically referenced in consultation documents with the action points that potentially have the most relevance noted below • Action 3 “Strengthen CFC rules”: Controlled Foreign Companies (CFC) and other anti-deferral rules e
Slide 32: Terrorism Developments
Terrorism Developments 32 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Risk Finance
Slide 33: Pool Re – Proposed Changes and EGM Outcome
Pool Re – Proposed Changes and EGM Outcome Background HM Treasury proposed changes to the way Pool Re is to be funded. Following negotiation between Pool Re and HMT a revised set f changes has been agreed upon to maintain HMT as reinsurer of last resort. Changes: • HM Treasury proposed to increase t
Slide 34: TRIA / TRIPRA Renewal
TRIA / TRIPRA Renewal Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA) and Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorisation Act (TRIPRA) It is a public-private partnership that provides affordable and widely available terrorism cover in the US. TRIPRA was initially enacted to stabilize the insurance market and t
Slide 35: Compliance Update
Compliance Update Jonathan Carter, Compliance Officer & MLRO Aon Guernsey
Slide 36: Sections
Sections Topics Section 1 Compliance Update Section 2 Regulatory environment - 2014 Section 3 Regulatory environment - 2015 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Captive & Insurance Management Proprietary & Confidential | December 2014 36
Slide 37: Compliance Update
Section 1 – Compliance Update Compliance Update Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Captive & Insurance Management Proprietary & Confidential | December 2014 37
Slide 38: Contents
Section 1 – Compliance Update Contents About your Compliance Officer / MLRO My perspective, my role My perspective, you Compliance function MLRO function Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Captive & Insurance Management Proprietary & Confidential | December 2014 38
Slide 39: About your Compliance Officer / MLRO
Section 1 – Compliance Update About your Compliance Officer / MLRO Solicitor City, in-house life and pensions companies Formerly, director of GFSC licensed companies Committee member, Guernsey Association of Compliance Officers Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Captive & Insuranc
Slide 40: Compliance Update: Employed vs Appointed
Section 1 – Compliance Update Employed Appointed Insurance Compli- Captive Manager ance Insurer Officer (MLRO) Responsibility (Prescribed Person) Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Captive & Insurance Management Proprietary & Confidential | December 2014 40
Slide 41: My perspective – you
Section 1 – Compliance Update My perspective – you 60 NEDs 2.5 captive directorships / NED Guernsey resident Insurance professionals, accountants, lawyers Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Captive & Insurance Management Proprietary & Confidential | December 2014 41
Slide 42: Compliance function
Section 1 – Compliance Update Compliance function Guernsey Jonathan Carter, Compliance Officer Stuart Brown, Deputy Compliance Officer Zoe Carter, Senior Compliance Administrator Aon Dublin Ann O’Keefe, Group Head of Risk and Compliance, Aon Captive Insurance Managers AIM Global Compliance
Slide 43: Aon Compliance Guernsey - Mission Statement
Section 1 – Compliance Update Aon Compliance Guernsey - Mission Statement ‘To assist Aon and its clients to carry out their business with integrity and in accordance with legal, regulatory and ethical responsibilities.’ Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Captive & Insurance Management Pro
Slide 44: MLRO function - 2014
Section 1 – Compliance Update MLRO function - 2014 MLRO - Jonathan Carter Deputy MLRO – Diana Knott Nominated Officers – Amanda Helyar and Justin Upson THEMIS (process simplification) Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Captive & Insurance Management Proprietary & Confidential | De
Slide 45: Regulatory environment - 2014
Section 2 – Regulatory environment - 2014 Regulatory environment - 2014 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Captive & Insurance Management Proprietary & Confidential | December 2014 45
Slide 46: Contents
Section 2 – Regulatory environment - 2014 Contents PRISM MoneyVal GFSC AML / CFT Exemption (2013) Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Captive & Insurance Management Proprietary & Confidential | December 2014 46
Slide 47: PRISM (new for 2014)
Section 2 – Regulatory environment - 2014 PRISM (new for 2014) ‘Probability and Risk Impact System’ Insurance division first to adopt in 2013 Model - risk probability vs impact Risks – strategy / business model, governance, conduct, operational, environmental, credit, market, capital, liquid
Slide 48: MoneyVal
Section 2 – Regulatory environment - 2014 MoneyVal Council of Europe - Committee of Experts on the Evaluation of Anti- Money Laundering Measures and the Financing of Terrorism AML / CFT FATF standards ‘Satisfactory’ - Report in Spring 2015 Business / client risk assessments, mitigation of AM
Slide 49: GFSC
Section 2 – Regulatory environment - 2014 GFSC Caroline Bradley Secondment to Channel Islands Brussels Office Returns as Deputy Director Insurance December 2014 William Mason Director General elected to executive committee of International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS) Aon Risk Solutio
Slide 50: GFSC (cont.)
Section 2 – Regulatory environment - 2014 GFSC (cont.) Industry Presentation 2014, Insurance Supervision and Policy Division Presentation slides http://www.gfsc.gg/The-Commission/About-Us/Events/Documents/20141121-Insurance- Slides.pdf Speeches http://www.gfsc.gg/The-Commission/About- Us/Events/
Slide 51: AML / CFT Exemption (2013)
Section 2 – Regulatory environment - 2014 AML / CFT Exemption (2013) The Criminal Justice (Proceeds of Crime) (Bailiwick of Guernsey) Law, 1999 (Amendment of Schedules 1 and 2) Regulations, 2013 (March 28th 2013) General insurance - AML / CFT regime / GFSC Handbook no longer apply Insurance mana
Slide 52: AML / CFT Exemption (2013) (cont.)
Section 2 – Regulatory environment - 2014 AML / CFT Exemption (2013) (cont.) General insurers still subject to: Disclosure laws Drug trafficking laws Anti-corruption legislation Sanctions, etc. Commission still expects NEDs of general insurers to be aware of: AML / CFT risks The vulnerab
Slide 53: Regulatory environment - 2015
Section 3 – Regulatory environment - 2015 Regulatory environment - 2015 Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Captive & Insurance Management Proprietary & Confidential | December 2014 53
Slide 54: Contents
Section 3 – Regulatory environment - 2015 Contents PQs – On-line portal Solvency requirements Accounting rules Corporate governance Conduct of business rules Revision of laws Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Captive & Insurance Management Proprietary & Confidential | Decembe
Slide 55: PQs – On-line portal
Section 3 – Regulatory environment - 2015 PQs – On-line portal Q1 roll out of new on-line PQ regime Aon involved in pilot testing and initial roll-out Requirement to submit new on-line PQ via portal No PDs (next PD will trigger new PQ) Your personal responsibility to submit / update Cont.
Slide 56: PQs – On-line portal (cont.)
Section 3 – Regulatory environment - 2015 PQs – On-line portal (cont.) LMU (‘Licensee Main User’) can monitor submissions by entity – Amanda Helyar (Co. Sec. Officer) https://online.gfsc.gg/ Part of wider IT programme – e.g. plans for on-line submission of annual returns and notifications Aon
Slide 57: Solvency requirements
Section 3 – Regulatory environment - 2015 Solvency requirements Insurance Business (Bailiwick of Guernsey) (Amendment) Ordinance, 2014 Addresses certain gaps between Guernsey’s insurance regime and requirements of IAIS particularly: ICP 16 - Enterprise risk management ICP 17 – Capital adequacy I
Slide 58: Accounting rules
Section 3 – Regulatory environment - 2015 Accounting rules UK GAAP changing to reflect International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) Captives to decide which standard to adopt – IFRS – FRS 101 (IFRS with reduced disclosure for subsidiaries of an IFRS group) – FRS 102 (uses FRS 102) Captiv
Slide 59: Conduct of business rules
Section 3 – Regulatory environment - 2015 Conduct of business rules The ‘Conduct of Business Rules’ issued under the Insurance Managers and Insurance Intermediaries (Bailiwick of Guernsey) Law, 2002 to be replaced by The Insurance Mangers (Conduct of Business) Rules 2014 No material changes – re
Slide 60: Corporate governance
Section 3 – Regulatory environment - 2015 Corporate governance Amendment of Licensed Insurers’ Corporate Governance Code, 2002 to reflect IAIS insurance core principals: – ICP 7 – Corporate Governance – ICP 9 – Internal controls Principle 4 – Duties of individual board members Draft on GFSC we
Slide 61: Revision of laws – overview
Section 3 – Regulatory environment - 2015 Revision of laws – overview Key aims include: – maximising ‘usability’ of laws – creating efficiencies – enhancing clarity – removing inconsistencies Key driver – next IMF visit Discussion paper published Nov. 10th 2014, feedback by December 19th 2014
Slide 62: Revision of laws – insurance
Section 3 – Regulatory environment - 2015 Revision of laws – insurance Sector specific Gap between Guernsey’s insurance regime and requirements of International Association of Insurance Supervisors mainly being addressed by revisions to solvency regime Future revision – ‘Group-wide supervision’
Slide 63: Looking forward
Section 3 – Regulatory environment - 2015 Looking forward Implementation of International Association of Insurance Supervisors ICPs (Insurance core principles). Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Captive & Insurance Management Proprietary & Confidential | December 2014 63
Slide 64: And finally…..
Section 3 – Regulatory environment - 2015 And finally….. Commission enforcement action – Guernsey Insurance Brokers Limited “… within 18 months … Mr. W. is to obtain the Certificate in Company Direction or Accelerated Certificate in Company Direction … or equivalent qualification …” Aon Risk Solutio
Slide 65: Questions?
Questions? Jonathan Carter Compliance Officer / MLRO +44(0) 1481 707937 [email protected] Aon Risk Solutions | Global Risk Consulting | Captive & Insurance Management Proprietary & Confidential | December 2014 65
Slide 66: Thank you
Thank you AION Empower Results®