Alstom SA · EURONEXT:ALO

Alstom SA — FY2003 Earnings Presentation

49 slides from Alstom SA's earnings presentation, May 14, 2003

  1. Slide 1: Annual Results Fiscal Year 2003

    Annual Results Fiscal Year 2003 14 May 2003

  2. Slide 2: Agenda

    Agenda l Overview P. Kron l Operational Review N. Salmon l Financial Results Ph. Jaffré l Action plan update P. Kron 2

  3. Slide 3: FY 2002/03

    FY 2002/03 l Results in line with guidance given on March 12 l Impacted by GT24/GT26 exceptional provision and Power market downturn l Decisive action plan launched l First tangible results achieved 3

  4. Slide 4: FY 2002/03 Results

    FY 2002/03 Results l Orders Received (1) (4)% l Sales (1) + 1% l Operating margin before exceptionals 4.1% 4Exceptional provisions: Ø GT24/GT26: €1,160 m Ø UK trains: €140 m l Net result affected by exceptionals: €(1.38) Bn In line with previous guidance (1) on a comparable basis 4

  5. Slide 5: FY 2002/03 Results

    FY 2002/03 Results l Free Cash flow €(1,151) m in FY 02 €(265) m l Economic debt reduced (1) €5.3 Bn in FY 02 €4.9 Bn In line with previous guidance (1) Economic debt = Net debt (including securitisation of future receivables) + Securitisation of existing receivables 5

  6. Slide 6: Action plan update

    Action plan update 1 - Increase disposals to €3.0 Bn by March 04 €1.5 Bn secured, 50% of target achieved 2 - Strengthen financial base Secured €1.1 Bn bank facilities Adapted covenants 3 - Improve operational performance Management and organisation renewed Restructuring launched Focus on commercial

  7. Slide 7: Agenda

    Agenda l Overview P. Kron l Operational Review N. Salmon l Financial Results Ph. Jaffré l Action plan update P. Kron 7

  8. Slide 8: Market environment

    Market environment l Power: 4Abrupt market downturn in new equipment 4Continuing growth in Service l T&D: 4Stable market in transmission 4Difficult market in distribution l Transport: 4Buoyant market l Marine: 4Uncertain cruise market Overall, challenging market environment 8

  9. Slide 9: ALSTOM - actual FY 2002/03

    ALSTOM - actual FY 2002/03 € million FY-02 FY-03 Orders 22,686 19,123 (16)% Sales 23,453 21,351 (9)% Backlog 35,815 30,330 (15)% Operating Income (OI) 941 (434) Operating Margin (OM) 4.0% (2.0)% 9

  10. Slide 10: ALSTOM - Comparables

    ALSTOM - Comparables* € million H2-02 H2-03 FY-02 FY-03 Orders 8,698 8,586 (1)% 19,959 19,123 (4)% Sales 10,705 10,582 (1)% 21,051 21,351 +1% Backlog 32,995 30,330 (8)% Operating Income 379 (977) 839 (434) before excep. 323 866 Operating Margin 3.5% (9.2)% 4.0% (2.0)% before excep. 3.1% 4.1% *Same S

  11. Slide 11: Power - Comparables

    Power - Comparables* € million H2-02 H2-03 FY-02 FY-03 Orders 4,148 3,571 (14)% 10,299 8,602 (16)% Sales 5,864 5,089 (13)% 12,098 10,901 (10)% Backlog 13,835 11,386 (18)% Operating Income 257 (961) 526 (690) before excep. 199 470 Operating Margin 4.4% (18.9)% 4.3% (6.3)% before excep. 3.9% 4.3% *Sam

  12. Slide 12: Power

    Power € billion FY-03 Orders Sales Power Turbo-systems 2.0 3.8 Power Service 2.8 2.6 Power Environment 2.6 3.2 Industrial Turbines Business 1.2 1.3 Total Power 8.6 10.9 Note on new Sectors: • Turbo-Systems = Gas Turbine Segment + Steam Power Plants Segment • Environment = Boilers & Environment Segme

  13. Slide 13: Power

    Power l Power Turbo-systems: 4Decline of Gas turbine market 4Slowdown in turnkey l Power Service: 4Strong activity in maintenance and retrofit l Power Environment: 4Decline of gas related products partly offset by growth in aftermarket and new coal equipment 4Hydro stable 13

  14. Slide 14: GT24/GT26

    GT24/GT26 l Delayed "Recovery package" for customers l Crisis in power market tighter cash constraints on our customers l Liquidated damages l Costs of replacement parts (blades, compressor, ...) Additional €1,160 m provision on GT24/GT26 in FY-03 14

  15. Slide 15: GT24/GT26

    GT24/GT26 € million Situation at March 31, 2003 Estimated gross liability: 1,984 Estimated mitigation: 454 Liability: 1,530 Existing provisions: 370 New provisions: 1,160 Provisions: 1,530 15

  16. Slide 16: GT24/GT26: progress

    GT24/GT26: progress 1) Implementation of recovery package Ø On schedule 2) Mitigation program Ø Detailed action plan in place 3) Outstanding litigation and settlement negotiations Ø Progressing as expected Ø 61 units with settlements, of which 24 unconditional, 12 in negotiation, 7 in litigation 4)

  17. Slide 17: Power: Drivers for margin improvement

    Power Drivers for margin improvement l GT24/GT26 issue resolution l Cost reduction: 4Overhead - new organisation 4Industrial restructuring l Business mix: 4Increase "Aftermarket" activity 4Decrease "Turnkey" capacity 17

  18. Slide 18: T&D - Comparables

    T&D - Comparables* € million H2-02 H2-03 FY-02 FY-03 Orders 1,668 1,665 0% 3,602 3,732 +4% Sales 1,914 1,827 (5)% 3,565 3,605 +1% Backlog 2,646 2,694 +2% Operating Income 111 117 +5% 210 227 +8% Operating Margin 5.8% 6.4% 5.9% 6.3% *Same Scope and exchange rate 18

  19. Slide 19: T&D Drivers for margin improvement

    T&D Drivers for margin improvement l Product line rationalisation l Industrial re-organisation l Overhead reduction l Focus on growing markets 19

  20. Slide 20: Transport - Comparables

    Transport - Comparables* € million H2-02 H2-03 FY-02 FY-03 Orders 2,557 3,112 +22% 5,469 6,412 +17% Sales 2,173 2,733 +26% 3,994 5,072 +27% Backlog 13,540 14,675 +8% Operating Income 7 (41) 83 49 before excep. 99 189 Operating Margin 0.3% (1.5)% 2.1% 1.0% before excep. 3.6% 3.7% *Same scope and exch

  21. Slide 21: UK Trains

    UK Trains l Regional Trains 4 Significant difficulties and delays experienced 4 118 of 119 trains now in service 4 Reliability improvement programme continuing l West Coast Mainline 4 Changes to train specification, performance and manufacturing due to track and signaling upgrade 4 15 of 53 trains n

  22. Slide 22: Transport: Drivers for margin improvement

    Transport Drivers for margin improvement l Resolve UK trains issue l Leverage good market conditions l Pursue opportunities in signaling and service l Restructure underutilised facilities 22

  23. Slide 23: Marine - Comparables

    Marine - Comparables* € million H2-02 H2-03 FY-02 FY-03 Orders 239 137 (43)% 462 163 (65)% Sales 634 843 +33% 1,240 1,568 +26% Backlog 2,928 1,523 (48)% Operating Income 5 8 +60% 47 24 (49)% Operating Margin 0.8% 0.9% 3.8% 1.5% *Same Scope and exchange rate 23

  24. Slide 24: Marine

    Marine l High workload in FY-03 and FY-04 l Renaissance: 47 of the 8 former Renaissance cruise ships sold or chartered l Very weak order intake, uncertainty on load for FY-05 and beyond: 4Reduce capacity if no new cruiseship order in FY-04 l Need to participate in industry consolidation 24

  25. Slide 25: ALSTOM - Operating Income (Comparable)

    ALSTOM - Operating Income (Comparable*) € million FY-02 FY-03 FY-03 bef. Except. Power 526 (690) 470 T&D 210 227 227 Transport 83 49 189 Marine 47 24 24 Others** (27) (44) (44) Op. Income 839 (434) 866 4.0% (2.0)% 4.1% *Same Scope and exchange rate ** Others include Corporate and International Netwo

  26. Slide 26: Agenda

    Agenda l Overview P. Kron l Operational Review N. Salmon l Financial Results Ph. Jaffré l Action plan update P. Kron 26

  27. Slide 27: Main reporting changes

    Main reporting changes l Scope: 4South African subsidiary 4Captive insurance company l Accounting: 4Cost of securitisation of future receivables in Net Financial Income 4Deferred tax assets and liabilities shown net 4Financial Debt includes: Preferred shares, Subordinated notes, Securitisation of fu

  28. Slide 28: Income Statement -1-

    Income Statement -1- € million FY-02 FY-03 Operating Income 941 (434) Ø Restructuring (227) (268) Ø Pensions (139) (214) Ø Capital gain (loss) 118 (6) Ø Others, net* (142) (67) Ø Intangible amortisation (64) (67) EBIT 487 (1,056) (*) Includes in FY-02 €90 m of Marine vendor financing provisioning 28

  29. Slide 29: Pensions

    Pensions € million 3,543 Non recognised: 956 Amortised over 12-15 years 575 Recognised: 2,012 Net provision in Balance Sheet Projected Fair Market Funding Benefits Value of Status 2002/03 Obligation Plan Assets P&L (214) Cash outflow 203 29

  30. Slide 30: Income Statement -2-

    Income Statement -2- € million FY-02 FY-03 EBIT 487 (1,056) Ø Financial Income (expenses) (294) (270) Ø Income Tax (10) 241 Ø Minority Interest, and others (36) (12) Net Income before goodwill 147 (1,097) Ø Goodwill amortisation (286) (284) Net Income (139) (1,381) (*) Includes in FY-02 €90 m of Mar

  31. Slide 31: Nominal value of shares

    Nominal value of shares l Equity reviewed in ALSTOM SA statutory accounts: 4Write-down of assets from historical numbers 4Statutory equity to be reduced to €350 million l Nominal value to be adjusted to €1.25 from €6 today 31

  32. Slide 32: Customer Deposits and Advances (Comparable)

    Customer Deposits and Advances (Comparable*) € million 3,632 3,541 Transport 1,129 1,412 Power 1,908 1,493 Others 595 636 Mar 02 Mar 03 CD&A variation: (2)% in line with FY-03 order variation: (4)% *Same scope and exchange rate 32

  33. Slide 33: Free Cash Flow

    Free Cash Flow € million FY-02 FY-03 Cash from operations 341 286 Ø ∆ Working Capital 247* 1,115* Ø CAPEX net (432) (389) Ø Over-financed contracts (607) (222) Free Cash Flow before GT24/GT26 (451) 790 Ø GT24/GT26 cash outflow (700) (1,055) Free Cash Flow (1,151) (265) (*) of which Marine (268) in F

  34. Slide 34: Economic debt

    Economic debt € billion GT24/GT26 FCF cash before outflow 5.3 GT24/GT26 0.6 4.9 Securit. (1.1) Acquisitions Other (Existing) 1.0 0.8 Rights 0.4 Issue (0.1) 0.3 Preferred + Disposals (0.2) 0.5 Subordinated 0.5 Proceeds FCF 1.3 Securit. 1.7 (0.3) (Future) Net Debt 2.8 Net Financial 2.1 Debt March 02 M

  35. Slide 35: Existing credit line maturity

    Existing credit line maturity TOTAL Jun 03 Sep 03 Dec 03 Mar 04 Mar 05 After Preference shares 205 205 Subordinated notes 250 250 Bonds 1,200 550 650 Syndicated loans 3,227 254 600 400 1,250 723 Bilateral loans 358 75 283 5,240 0 254 600 1,025 1,250 2,111 Securitisation (Future) 1,292 Facilities in

  36. Slide 36: Liquidity at March 03

    Liquidity at March 03 € million 7,288 Securitisation (Existing) 357 600 Available lines Uncommitted 399 credit lines 610 Cash available at Holding 2,370 1,160 Liquidity at Subsidiaries Committed Economic credit lines 6,532 4,918 Debt 36

  37. Slide 37: New financial covenants

    New financial covenants € billion Actual Covenants Mar 03 Mar 03 Sept 03 Mar 04 Gross economic debt 6.7 < 7.0 < 6.8 < 4.8 Net economic debt 4.9 < 5.3 < 5.5 < 3.6 Net worth* 0.9 > 0.8 > 0.5 > 0.5 Interest cover** NA - - > 1.8x Early repayment of bridge loan and extended credit facilities (€600m + €47

  38. Slide 38: Bonds and Guarantees

    Bonds and Guarantees € billion, actual numbers Bonds Backlog 35.8 30.3 32% 31% 11.4 9.5 March 02 March 03 Reduction of bonding levels in line with backlog 38

  39. Slide 39: Vendor Financing

    Vendor Financing* € million March 02 March 03 Marine 1,044 933 Ø Renaissance 432 368 Ø Others Marine 612 565 Transport & Others 449 326 Total 1,493 1,259 (*) Off balance sheet + balance sheet figures 39

  40. Slide 40: Asbestos

    Asbestos l France and other countries : 4Covered by publicly-funded systems or medical schemes. l USA 4ABB Indemnified cases: Pre -package Chapter 11 of Combustion Engineering Inc. awaiting court approval 4Non ABB cases: Nov. May New Dismissed 2002 2003 Asbestos Cases 80 67 (101) 46 Asbestos Claims

  41. Slide 41: Agenda

    Agenda l Overview P. Kron l Operational Review N. Salmon l Financial Results Ph. Jaffré l Action plan update P. Kron 41

  42. Slide 42: 1- Increase disposals to €3 Bn

    1- Increase disposals to €3 Bn l Real Estate 4 €267 m in FY02/03 + €138 m April 03 405 4 To be finalised over next few months app. 200 l Businesses 4 Industrial turbines: signed April 03 950 4 Insurance Company: achieved in FY-03 100 4 South African subsidiary: achieved in FY-03 50 4 T&D: preliminar

  43. Slide 43: 2- Strengthen financial base

    2- Strengthen financial base l Capital increase 4 To be submitted for approval at 2 July 2003 AGM: ØCapital increase via Rights issue ØMaximum proceeds €600 m 4 Timing of implementation to be defined by Board l Credit lines 4 Agreement on new covenants: done 4 €475 m Deferral: done 4 €600 m Bridge L

  44. Slide 44: 3- Improve performance

    3- Improve performance l Management and organisation 4 Renew the management ØExecutive committee renewed done ØNew management in Power done ØNew management in Transport done 4 Implement a more efficient organisation ØPower delayered done ØCorporate Risk Committee chaired by CEO initiated ØInternatio

  45. Slide 45: 3- Improve performance

    3- Improve performance l Restructuring €500 m recurring annual savings within two years 4 Corporate + Power HQ Ø170 staff reductions (40%) announced 4 Industrial ØTurbo-Systems: 3,000 staff reductions (30%) announced ØOthers: to be launched progressively in coming months 45

  46. Slide 46: 3- Improve performance

    3- Improve performance l Commercial focus 4 Focus on commercial efficiency despite: ØMarket slowdown impacting orders during last period ØCustomer questions on ALSTOM’s future ØTight bonding market 4 Top priority in coming months: commercial initiatives on all fronts to leverage our market positions

  47. Slide 47: 3- Improve performance

    3- Improve performance l Significant orders since March 12: 4Gas CC plant in Bahrain €320 m 4CFB Boiler in China €65 m Power 4Hydro plant in Quebec €40 m 4Nuclear plant upgrade in Finland €35 m T&D 4HVDC Sweden-Denmark link €40 m 4100 Coradia - Minuetto trains €320 m Transport 4Barcelona metro Maint

  48. Slide 48: To conclude

    To conclude l A clear vision of the future ALSTOM l Defined financial targets 4Sales: €15 Bn 4Operating margin: 6% in 2005/06 4Positive free cash flow 4Economic debt < €2.5Bn by March 2005 Good Progress in Making it Happen 48

  49. Slide 49: www.alstom.com

    www.alstom.com

Alstom — FY2003 Earnings Presentation on 6ix