Cez As · PSECZ:CEZ
Cez As — Debt Investor Presentation (November 2006)
30 slides from Cez As's debt investor presentation, November 2006
Slide 1: CEZ Group Debt Investor Presentation
CEZ Group Debt Investor Presentation November 2006
Slide 2: Summary
SUMMARY 1) CEZ overview and credit rating ratios 2) CEZ Financials 3) CEZ Strategy 1
Slide 3: CEZ overview and credit rating ratios
1) CEZ overview and credit rating ratios 2) CEZ Financials 3) CEZ Strategy 2
Slide 4: CEZ Group is a major player in Central Europe
CEZ GROUP IS A MAJOR PLAYER IN CENTRAL EUROPE Asset positions CEZ Group in Poland Target markets (75% share in Skawina, 89% in Elcho) Trading office electricity sales (TWh) 3.6 market share 2.4% installed capacity (MW) 830 CEZ Group in Romania market share 2.3% (51% share in EDC Oltenia) n
Slide 5: CEZ has become a major player in Europe
CEZ HAS BECOME A MAJOR PLAYER IN EUROPE Top 10 European power utilities Top 10 European power utilities Number of customers in Europe, million Market capitalization, USD bn, as of August 24, 2006 1 EdF 36,7 1 EDF 104,8 2 Enel 30,0 E.ON 88,2 2 3 E.ON 26,0 Enel 54,7 3 4 Endesa 23,0 RWE 51,3 4 5 RWE 19
Slide 6: CEZ is the biggest company among the new EU member states
CEZ IS THE BIGGEST COMPANY AMONG THE NEW EU MEMBER STATES Market capitalization of top 15 companies among the new EU member states* EUR billion 18 17 16 14 12 9.8 10 8.7 8.5 8 7.3 7.1 6 5.5 6 5.3 5.2 4.5 4.1 3.5 3.3 4 2.5 2 0 Z) ) U) PK Z) U) L) Z) BP U) Y) HM ) L) V) L) L) KA L) HU KG PL (C (C (P (
Slide 7: CEZ Group is one of the most profitable utilities in Europe
CEZ GROUP IS ONE OF THE MOST PROFITABLE UTILITIES IN EUROPE AND WILL REMAIN SO EBITDA margin, 2005 Percent CEZ Group’s outstanding performance is driven by a generation portfolio which has potential for further improvements: E.ON 17,7 Coal Supply RWE 19,9 long term framework agreement until 2050
Slide 8: CEZ Group has an attractive low cost generation fleet and secured low fuel costs
CEZ GROUP HAS A VERY ATTRACTIVE LOW COST GENERATION FLEET AND SECURED LOW FUEL COSTS CEZ Group generation capacity (2005) Annual production of CEZ Group MW TWh 100% of Utilization Completion of Temelín 12,297 generation 2005 nuclear power plant Hydro (river 3.4% 12% 2,000 MW accumulation 1 934 15.6%
Slide 9: CEZ is a dominant player in all sectors of the Czech electricity market
CEZ IS A DOMINANT PLAYER IN ALL SECTORS OF THE CZECH ELECTRICITY MARKET Lignite mining Generation Transmission Distribution Supply 5 out of 8 45% CEZ distribution 56% 22 million tons 72% companies 31.0 TWh 60.0 TWh 100% 62% of customers 62 TWh 55% Others 44% 27 million tons 28% 38% of customers 25.0
Slide 10: CEZ's rating compared to its competitors
CEZ’S RATING COMPARED TO ITS COMPETITORS S&P (A-, credit outlook „stable“) Aa1 - Standard & Poors upgraded CEZ’s credit rating to A- on October 2,2006 due to its strong financial performance and strong financial profile. Aa2 - Standard & Poors expects the rating should withstand a degree of increa
Slide 11: CEZ and peer group secondary trading spreads on bond issues
CEZ AND PEER GROUP SECONDARY TRADING SPREADS ON BOND ISSUES Utility Peers CEZ CEZ’s recent 80 Eurobond issue (EUR 500 mil., 7 years) met 70 with strong investor Repsol ‘14 demand, attracting Spread over Euro mid swaps (bp) 60 nearly 2.1 billion euros 50 of orders from 125 investors 40 CEZ ‘13 Vatten
Slide 12: Strong credit ratings
STRONG CREDIT RATINGS Source: Bloomberg, 17/10/06 11
Slide 13: Capital structure analysis
CAPITAL STRUCTURE ANALYSIS Despite growing indebtness CEZ will stay above targeted ratios Leverage FFO/Total De bt 40,0% 140,0% 33,4% 33,4% 114,9% 120,0% 108,9% 30,3% 30,0% 27,2% 100,0% 23,9% 76,2% 80,0% 69,0% 16,7% 17,8% 57,7% 20,0% 60,0% 47,1% 44,7% 40,0% 35 % 10,0% 20,0% 0,0% 0,0% 2005 2006 2007
Slide 14: CEZ Financials
1) CEZ overview and business profile 2) CEZ Financials 3) CEZ Strategy 13
Slide 15: CEZ Group has a healthy balance sheet
CEZ GROUP HAS A HEALTHY BALANCE SHEET ASSETS increase in cash and cash LIABILITIES CZK bn equivalents by CZK 7.8 bn, CZK bn in receivables by CZK 5.2 336.3 bn, mainly unbilled supply to 324.2 324.2 336.3 small customers of CEZ Prodej (CZK 3.1bn as a 350 350 ST liabilities result of a higher electric
Slide 16: CEZ Group's debt structure
CEZ GROUP’S DEBT STRUCTURE DEBT CZK mil. 6 780 Long Term Debt 1 558 8 338 11 264 Total Long Term Debt + Bonds in CZK 7 230 Short Term Debt 44 760 17 929 36 422 Total Short Term Debt Total Debt EUR USD CZK EUR/USD/CZK EUR CZK EUR/CZK Aggregate value * assuming CZK/EUR 28.495, CZK/USD 22.413 Source: C
Slide 17: CEZ Group's debt structure after hedging
CEZ GROUP’S DEBT STRUCTURE AFTER HEDGING DEBT CZK mil. CEZ’s foreign exchange Long Term Debt exposure on its debt is 27 % 6 780 8 338 Total Long Term 29 032 1 558 Debt + Bonds in CZK 40 705 Short Term Debt 49 043 Total Short Term Debt 2 506 9 167 Total Debt EUR USD CZK EUR/USD/CZK EUR CZK EUR/CZK Ag
Slide 18: CEZ Group generates large operating cash-flow in excess of investment needs
CEZ GROUP GENERATES LARGE OPERATING CASH-FLOW IN EXCESS OF INVESTMENT NEEDS Net cash provided by operating activities CZK billion 80 80 Other 2006 CZK 1.3 bn – IT – CEZ Data, sro 70 70 CZK 1.1 bn - other Mining 60 60 2006 CZK 2.0 bn –SD, a.s. 50 50 Distribution and sales - foreign 2006 40 40
Slide 19: CEZ Group has very strong free cash-flow and additional borrowing capacity
CEZ GROUP HAS VERY STRONG FREE CASH-FLOW - COMBINED WITH ADDITIONAL BORROWING CAPACITY WHICH CAN BE USED TO FINANCE INTERNATIONAL GROWTH BY UP TO EUR 6.0 BILLIONS Free cash flow of CEZ Group (cumulative) EUR million Free Cash for acquisitions ~ 4,000 6,000 Free Cash for acquisitions net of executed/
Slide 20: Nuclear provisions
NUCLEAR PROVISIONS CZK 78.9 bn Discounted by 2.5% Interim storage real discount rate 7.4 of spent fuel Temelín 13.7 decommissioning Dukovany CZK 35.9 bn 15.6 decommissioning as stated in BS at December 31, 2005 Annual increase by 4.5% (discount rate 2.5% + estimated inflation effect 2.0%) Final stor
Slide 21: CEZ Strategy
1) CEZ overview and business profile 2) CEZ Financials 3) CEZ Strategy 20
Slide 22: CEZ Group has launched four key strategic initiatives
TO ACHIEVE IT’S VISION CEZ GROUP HAS LAUNCHED FOUR KEY STRATEGIC INITIATIVES TO BE A POWER MARKET LEADER IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE Integration and Plant M&A operational portfolio expansion excellence development (2004-08) (2007-20) (2004-10) Performance oriented culture Source: CEZ 21
Slide 23: Vision 2008: reorganize into a transparent holding structure
WITHIN THE PROJECT “VISION 2008” CEZ GROUP WILL REORGANIZE ITSELF INTO A TRANSPARENT HOLDING STRUCTURE … CEZ CEZ Group Generation Project Generation Wholesale trading “Vision 2008” Wholesale trading Sales Distribution company 5 CEZ Prodej CEZ Distribuce Distribution company 4 sales dis
Slide 24: Almost EUR 100 million in annual savings
… AND ACHIEVE ALMOST EUR 100 MILLION IN ANNUAL SAVINGS Gross costs saving* in 2004-08 total annual cost savings EUR million related to the “Vision 2008” project are to reach CZK 2.9 bn by 2008, i.e. ~10% of 258 2004 operating costs in the supply and distribution segment (excluding 95 purchased elect
Slide 25: Future plant fleet built mainly around modern lignite plants
CEZ INTENDS TO BUILD ITS FUTURE PLANT FLEET MAINLY AROUND MODERN TECHNOLOGY LIGNITE PLANTS Coal Nuclear Gas Renewables Environ- acceptable emissions no emissions low emissions limited/no emissions mental if modern technology nuclear risk no resources impact adopted depletion Competitive
Slide 26: Plans for lignite plants renewal and expansion in other fuels
CEZ HAS FINALIZED PLANS FOR LIGNITE PLANTS RENEWAL AND IS DEVELOPING STRATEGY TO EXPAND ITS CAPACITY IN OTHER FUELS Capacity Removal of mining limits MW Current limits 7 000 Retrofits Existing plants 6 000 5 000 CEZ can only maintain existing capacity untill 2035 4 000 other fuels considered to
Slide 27: Capex for lignite plants renewal will reach CZK 125bn
CAPEX FOR LIGNITE PLANTS RENEWAL WILL REACH CZK 125BN* AND BRING 14-25% EFFICIENCY UPLIFT Project overview Highly efficient and Expected CAPEX – conservative scenario environmentally friendly CZK bn Highly profitable 20 2008-15: Main Assets Renewal Period Secured fuel – low risk 18 16 Retrofit
Slide 28: CEZ Group aims to grow in generation and distribution/supply
CEZ GROUP AIMS TO GROW BOTH IN GENERATION AND DISTRIBUTION/SUPPLY Realized acquisitions Bulgaria (distribution) – 1.9 million cust. Central Europe Romania (distribution) – 1.4 million Poland (generation) – 810 MW Bulgaria (generation) – 1,260 MW On-going acquisitions Ukraine (distribution)
Slide 29: ... and is best positioned to succeed
… AND IS BEST POSITIONED TO SUCCEED Price per customer in privatizations of CEE power distribution companies EUR/customer 1,212 1200 1000 800 707 600 515 483 2006 2004 2005 400 270 222 230 243 217 200 Slovakia 2002 Bulgaria 2005 Romania 0 RWE EdF E.ON E.ON CEZ EVN ENEL CEZ Enel VSE SSE ZSE NE Gr. NW
Slide 30: Fixed income investor relations contacts
FIXED INCOME INVESTOR RELATIONS CONTACTS CEZ, a. s. Duhova 2/1444 14 053 Praha 4 Czech Republic www.cez.cz Jan Hajek Bronislav Cerny Corporate Finance Department Corporate Finance Department Fixed Income Investor Relations Shares and dividends administration Phone:+420 211 042 687 Phone:+420 211 042
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