Dana Gas PJSC · ADX:DANA
Dana Gas PJSC — Dana Gas — Investor Presentation (November 2015)
46 slides from Dana Gas PJSC's investor presentation, November 2015
Slide 1: Clean Energy For the MENA Region's Tomorrow
Clean Energy For the MENA Region’s Tomorrow Dana Gas Investors Presentation November 2015 www.danagas.com 1
Slide 2: Forward Looking Statement
Forward Looking Statement This presentation contains forward-looking statements Forward-looking statements are based on certain assumptions which may be identified by their use of words like “plans,” and expectations of future events. The Company, its “expects,” “will,” “anticipates,” “believes,” “i
Slide 3: Presentation Outline
Presentation Outline Gas – Growth fuel in MENA Dana Gas – Overview Country Operations – Egypt and KRI Project Update – Zora Gas, UAE Credit Metrics Relative Valuations Summary www.danagas.com 3
Slide 4: Gas is the growth fuel of the 21st Century
Gas is the growth fuel of the 21st Century. Gas has strong environmental credentials and is cost competitive Current full lifecycle costs for new-build power generation including CO2 emissions from fuel externalities (US$/boe) (% share of global emissions) Gas 20% Coal 44% Oil 36% Switching from coa
Slide 5: MENA region has strong economic growth credentials
MENA region has strong economic growth credentials. Energy requirements of the region are expected to increase. Population growth in MENA countries 400 Bahrain 350 Qatar Kuwait Population (millions) 300 Oman 250 Libya UAE 200 Tunisia 150 Yemen Saudi Arabia 100 Iraq 50 Algeria Egypt 0 GDP growth in M
Slide 6: Gas is a key fuel in the primary energy mix in MENA
Gas is a key fuel in the primary energy mix in MENA Gas is the fuel of choice in power generation and has significant room to displace oil in power Primary energy sources of selected MENA countries Saudi Arabia Kuwait Egypt Algeria Oil Iran UAE 4.8 0.8 1.7 Natural Gas mmboe/d mmboe/d mmboe/d Coal 1
Slide 7: MENA gas producers striving to maintain domestic needs and exports
MENA region gas producers striving to maintain domestic needs and export obligations MENA region annual gas demand growth rates are one of the highest globally 2014 MENA gas production (bcm) 2014 MENA gas exports (bcm) 2014 MENA gas demand (bcm) Qatar Iran LNG Pipe Iran 24% 120 31% 24% 100 Saudi Ara
Slide 8: Dana Gas as regional gas integrated player
Dana Gas as regional gas integrated player focused on matching resource with markets Gas Resource* Holders in MENA (Total Reserves: c. 92 tcm) 40 Proved gas reserves, tcm Access to Private Capital Open 30 Potentially Open Closed/inaccessible 20 10 0 Iran Qatar Iraq^ Saudi UAE Algeria Egypt Kuwait Li
Slide 9: Dana Gas – Business Profile
Dana Gas – Business Profile www.danagas.com 9
Slide 10: Dana Gas: Independent E&P company listed on the ADX
Dana Gas: Independent E&P company listed on the ADX Dana Gas is operating at the heart of the world’s Dana Gas is a MENA focused gas largest hydrocarbon region independent headquartered in the UAE Quoted in the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange. Bloomberg: DANA:UH Shares outstanding: c. 6969 milli
Slide 11: Dana Gas works across the gas value chain
Dana Gas works across the gas value chain addressing both domestic and export market needs in MENA region Dana Gas is operating at the heart of the Production Profile 80 world’s largest hydrocarbon bearing region Iraq 68.9 70 64.7 65.1 Egypt WI Production (kbopd) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2007 2008 2009 2
Slide 12: Consistent growth, delivery and financial performance since 2007
Consistent growth, delivery and financial performance since 2007 Production Revenue 80 68.9 800 CAGR: 2% Iraq 70 64.7 65.1 Egypt 700 WI Production (kbopd) 60 600 50 USD Million 500 40 400 690 683 30 300 636 652 487 20 200 CAGR: 11% 311 349 324 282 10 100 0 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 9
Slide 13: Dana Gas: Country Business Highlights – Egypt
Dana Gas: Country Business Highlights EGYPT www.danagas.com 13
Slide 14: Egypt gas market fundamentals are sound
Egypt gas market fundamental are sound. New gas discoveries and gas imports are likely to return Egypt’s domestic demand to its historic growth trajectory Egypt annual gas supply/demand balance (post Zohr) Egypt’s current and planned regas capacity Producing Sanctioned Projects LNG Exports LNG Impor
Slide 15: Dana Gas is the 6th largest operator in Egypt
Dana Gas is the 6th largest operator and 4th largest onshore producer in Egypt 2015e Gas Production Ranking in Egypt (* denotes company is an operator) 1,000 900 2015 WI Production, mmcfpd 800 Dana Gas Egypt Credentials: 700 8th largest producer 600 6th largest operator th 4 largest onshore producer
Slide 16: Egypt: Nile Delta Operations
Egypt: Nile Delta Operations El Wastani Development Leases: • Onshore acreage consisting of 14 Development Leases in the prolific Nile Delta region Production: • 3Q 2015 avg 32.1 kboe/d versus 40.5 kboe/d for 3Q 2014. Decline is due to natural field production decline which will be Balsam 3 Balsam 2
Slide 17: Gas Production Enhancement Agreement (GPEA)
Gas Production Enhancement Agreement (GPEA) helps Egypt increase production while delivering long term value to Dana Gas Gas Enhancement Project – Execution Progress • 3 drilling and workover rigs secured with spud dates during May/June o 2000 HP rig - Balsam-2 o 1500 HP rig - Balsam-3, Salma Delta-
Slide 18: Block 6 – North El Arish Offshore Opportunity
Block 6 – North El Arish Offshore Opportunity • 1782 sq km of full fold 3D seismic acquired in Sept-Oct 2015 by PGS Ramform Titan boat. • Boat product PSTM seismic processing to be completed by mid/end December 2015 • Farm-out activity initiated • Integration of regional 2D multi client seismic data
Slide 19: Egypt: Block 1 - North El Salhiya Exploration
Egypt: Block 1 - North El Salhiya Exploration Newly awarded exploration blocks in Nile Delta enables Dana Gas to build on its core area production and utilising existing infrastructure • North El Salhiya (Block-1) onshore concession in the Nile Delta ratified on 15th January 2015 • Block-1 (100% WI)
Slide 20: Egypt: Block 3 - El Matariya Exploration
Egypt: Block 3 - El Matariya Exploration Newly awarded exploration blocks in Nile Delta enables Dana Gas to build on its core area production and utilising existing infrastructure • El Matariya (Block-3) onshore concession in the Nile Delta ratified on 15th January 2015 • Block-3 (50% WI); BP to ope
Slide 21: Country Business Highlights – Kurdistan Region of Iraq
Dana Gas: Country Business Highlights Kurdistan Region of Iraq www.danagas.com 21
Slide 22: Operations in Kurdistan Region of Iraq
Operations in Kurdistan Region of Iraq DG share of production (40%) averaged 28,000 boepd during 3Q 2015. Gross production details are as follows: o 300 MMscfd of natural gas o 12,627 bbl/d of condensates o 633 MT/d LPG The Mol sieve bed for the first train at Kor Mor plant was replaced in Octob
Slide 23: Rich gas and condensate producer with strong growth track record
Rich gas and condensate producer with strong growth track record Khor Mor Field Production, Dana Gas net share (40%) 30 Gas 3 Liquids(Condensate + LPG) 25 20 Production (kboed) 15 10 5 0 www.danagas.com 3. Current Condensate Gas Ratio (CGR) on Khor Mor is c. 45 bbl/mmscf comparable to Qatar North Fi
Slide 24: Khor Mor and Chemchemal potentially largest gas fields in the KRI
Khor Mor and Chemchemal are potentially largest gas fields in the KRI and comparable to large scale gas developments in the region Large Gas Developments in MENA (Source: Company disclosure) 110 100 90 Gas initially in place resources (tcf) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 KhorMor + Miran Bina Bawi Khazzan
Slide 25: Project Update – Zora Gas, UAE
Dana Gas: Project Update – Zora Gas, UAE www.danagas.com 25
Slide 26: Zora Offshore drilling activity – First Gas Achieved
Zora Offshore drilling activity – First Gas Achieved Drilling of Sharjah well Lateral A and Lateral B completed Well cleaned up and flowed at 50 MMSCFD - first gas 18th September 2015 Drilling Rig SGD-2 demobilized and departed Zora on 22nd October 2015 www.danagas.com 26
Slide 27: Zora Offshore Platform - Successfully Installed
Zora Offshore Platform - Successfully Installed Topsides installed offshore on 30th October and Platform installation complete Accommodation vessels and hook up team being mobilized Offshore Hook-up and Commissioning work ongoing First gas delivery for plant commissioning expected 4Q 2015 ww
Slide 28: Zora Gas Processing Plant - Nearing Completion
Zora Gas Processing Plant - Nearing Completion Main construction, Installation and Erection complete Systems powered up, Pre- commissioning activities ongoing in preparation to receive gas www.danagas.com 28
Slide 29: Dana Gas: Credit Metrics
Dana Gas: Credit Metrics www.danagas.com 29
Slide 30: Additional financial information
Additional financial information Dana Gas additional financial metrics Period Unit Value EBITDA LTM US$m 186 EBIT LTM US$m 92 Net debt Current US$m 709 Net debt / EBITDA LTM x 3.8 Interest cover ratio LTM x 1.4 Book leverage (Net debt / Total assets) Current x 19% Average years to maturity Current Y
Slide 31: Financing Update
Financing Update Sukuk Ordinary Sukuk (9%) outstanding of approx. $400 million following buy back of $25 million Convertible Sukuk (7%) outstanding of approx. $350 million post buy back of US$2 million 2014 redemptions of Convertible Sukuk worth $73 million – approx. 357 million shares issued
Slide 32: Dana Gas Sukuk Instruments
Dana Gas Sukuk Instruments Dana Gas share price vs. convertible trading value Sukuk convertible trading value (USD) Dana Gas share price (AED) Convertible Sukuk: 140 1.2 Convertible trading value (USD) 120 1.0 Principal amount: $352 mln Share price (AED) 100 0.8 80 0.6 Coupon: 7% (payable 60 qua
Slide 33: Leverage and interest coverage ratio in line with peers
Leverage and interest coverage ratio in line with peers Debt servicing: Net debt / EBITDA 6 4 2 Net debt / EBITDA 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 -12 -14 Dana Gas DNO Premier Petroceltic Genel Tullow Lundin Note: Net debt is as of latest reports. EBITDA is a LTM value. Interest cover ratio 4 2 EBIT / Interest exp
Slide 34: Book gearing and leverage comparable to industry peers
Book gearing and Leverage comparable to industry peers Total debt to total assets 80 70 Total debt to total assets 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Lundin Premier Tullow Petroceltic DNO Dana Gas Genel Debt to common equity 600 Debt to common equity 500 400 300 200 100 0 Lundin Premier Tullow DNO Petroceltic Dana
Slide 35: Reserve life vs average years to maturity of debt
Reserve life c. 2 x average year to maturity of Debt Years to average maturity 6 Years to average maturity (#) 5 4 3 2 1 0 Tullow DNO Premier Genel Dana Gas Lundin Petroceltic 2P reserve life 20 18 Note: Dana Gas Reserve life excludes 16 2P reserve life (years) KRI production & 14 reserves 12 10 8 6
Slide 36: Dana Gas: Relative Valuations
Dana Gas: Relative Valuations www.danagas.com 36
Slide 37: EV and Production valuation relative to peers
EV and Production valuation relative to peers Enterprise Value vs. Production (2015E) EV ($bn) 2015E Production (kboepd) 10 100 9 90 8 80 WI Production (kboepd) 7 70 Enterprise Value ($ bn) 6 60 5 50 4 40 3 30 2 20 1 10 0 0 Lundin Tullow Premier Dana Gas Genel DNO Gulf Petroceltic Transglobe Circle
Slide 38: Significantly undervalued relative to peers
Significantly undervalued relative to peers EV / EBITDA (2016E) Price / EPS (2016E) 8 30 7.0 7.0 26.4 7 25 Price / EPS (2016E) EV / EBITDA (2016E) 6 5.3 Mean* ~4.9 19.2 20 18.6 Mean * ~15.3 5 4.3 3.7 3.6 4 3.5 15 11.4 10.1 3 10 6.4 2 5 1 n.a. 0 0 Petroceltic Lundin Tullow Genel Premier DNO Dana Gas
Slide 39: Relative Performance
Relative Performance www.danagas.com -80% -40% -20% -60% 0% -100% 20% 40% 60% Ithaca Africa Oil Lekoil Det Norske Source: Bloomberg, performance as of 16/11/2015 Soco Intl. Lundin Petroleum DanaGas Cairn Energy Kosmos Cobalt Brent Kris Energy Bowleven Inter oil Indus gas Vaalco Gulf Keystone DNO Ban
Slide 40: Relative Performance
Relative Performance www.danagas.com -80% -60% -40% -20% 0% -100% 20% 40% 60% Det Norske Africa Oil Lundin Petroleum Lekoil Source: Bloomberg, performance as of 16/11/2015 Cobalt Kosmos Faroe Petroleum Brent Shamaran Ithaca Bowleven Cairn Energy Inter oil DanaGas Ophir Energy EnQuest Bankers Petrole
Slide 41: Relative share price performance of Dana Gas
Relative share price performance of Dana Gas 140% 120% Received Abu Dhabi Index +57% US$53mln from Egypt Signed the Partial award GPEA in Egypt in KRI 100% Arbitration Achieved record 80% 2013 production S&P GCC Index +31% Relative market performance (%) in Egypt 60% Approval of Sukuk refinancing 40
Slide 42: Dana Gas has mostly outperformed International and ME peers since Jan 2013
Dana Gas has mostly outperformed International and Middle Eastern (ME) peers since Jan 2013 International Peers ME Peers 150% 200% Dana Gas +16% Dana Gas -13% DNO -42% Lundin -46% Genel -70% Premier -81% 150% 100% Petroceltic -79% Tullow -85% Gulf Keystone -86% Relative performance (% ) Relative per
Slide 43: Dana Gas has outperformed its ME peers throughout 2015
Dana Gas has outperformed its Middle Eastern (ME) peers throughout 2015 ME Peers since January 2015 ME Peers since July 2015 40% 40% Dana Gas -22% Dana Gas -20% DNO -55% DNO -28% 30% Gulf Keystone -63% Gulf Keystone -30% 20% Genel -65% Genel -52% 20% Petroceltic -70% Petroceltic -62% 10% Relative pe
Slide 44: Summary
Summary www.danagas.com 44
Slide 45: Summary
Summary 9M 2015 revenue is US$324 million, net profit is US$10 million and average production is 65,100 boepd First major gas discovery in Egypt in 2015 in Balsam-3 . In addition to the Balsam-3 discovery we have also proved up additions to our field reserves with the Balsam-2 development well.
Slide 46: Reach Us: Dana Gas PJSC
Reach Us: Dana Gas PJSC P. O. Box 2011, Sharjah, UAE www.danagas.com E-mail : [email protected] Direct : +971 6 519 4401 Fax : +971 6 556 6522 www.danagas.com 46