Portland General Electric Co · NYSE:POR
Portland General Electric — Investor Presentation (December 2015)
36 slides from Portland General Electric's investor presentation, December 2015
Slide 1: Investor Presentation
Investor Presentation December 2015
Slide 2: Cautionary Statement
Cautionary Statement Information Current as of October 27, 2015 Except as expressly noted, the information in this presentation is current as of October 27, 2015 — the date on which PGE filed its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2015 — and should not be relied upon a
Slide 3: PGE Value Drivers
PGE Value Drivers Clear focus, 100% regulated utility Attractive service area Progressive environmental and renewable position Focus on operational efficiency Strong financial position Investment opportunities in generation and T&D assets drive rate-base growth 3
Slide 4: Strong Platform. Executing our Growth.
PGE INVESTMENT THESIS Strong Platform. Executing our Growth. The Company The Strengths The Execution 4
Slide 5: PGE at a Glance
PGE at a Glance Vertically integrated – generation, transmission Beaver Port Westward 1 & 2 and distribution OREGON Montana WASHINGTON Colstrip 3 & 4 Market cap ~ $3.3B 26 Columbia River Washington 84 Tucannon River Wind Service area in northwest Portland Sandy Farm Oregon T.W. Sullivan River
Slide 6: Strategic Direction
Strategic Direction Mission: To be a company our customers and communities can depend upon to provide electric service in a safe, sustainable and reliable manner, with excellent customer service, at a reasonable price. The path forward is guided by: Strengthening our relationship with customers an
Slide 7: Attractive, Growing Service Area
Attractive, Growing Service Area 2015 Load Growth Retail Load(1) (Million MWhs Rounded) 2015E load growth of approximately 2% 19.3 Driven by industrial delivery growth and strong economic conditions 19.0 Growth is weather adjusted and assumes exclusion of one large paper customer 18.7 18.6 18.
Slide 8: Constructive Regulatory Environment
Constructive Regulatory Environment Regulatory Construct Oregon Public Utility Commission – Governor-appointed three-member commission Chair: Susan Ackerman [D] March 2016 John Savage [D] March 2017 Stephen Bloom [R] November 2015 9.68% allowed return on equity(1) 50% debt and 50% equity
Slide 9: Strong Platform. Executing our Growth.
PGE INVESTMENT THESIS Strong Platform. Executing our Growth. The Company The Strengths The Execution 9
Slide 10: Key Strengths
Key Strengths 1 High customer satisfaction 2 Diversified customer base and generation portfolio 3 High quality utility operations 4 Solid financial performance 5 Strong financial position 10
Slide 11: 1. High Customer Satisfaction
1. High Customer Satisfaction Top Quartile System Reliability Edison Electric Institute Top Quartile Customer Satisfaction, Key Customers TQS Research, Inc. Top Quartile Customer Satisfaction, Residential and Business Market Strategies International Top Ranked Renewable Energy Program National Renew
Slide 12: 2. Diversified Customer Base and Generation Portfolio
2. Diversified Customer Base and Generation Portfolio Retail Revenues Power Sources as a by Customer Class Percent of Retail Load (2014) (2015 AUT)(1) Total = $1.76B Total = 2,140 MWa Industrial Purchased 12% Power Hydro 11% 23% Residential Natural Gas Commercial 51% 25% Wind & Solar 37% 13% Coal 28
Slide 13: 3. High Quality Utility Operations
3. High Quality Utility Operations Highly dependable PGE generation portfolio with five-year average availability of 93% (1) Strong power supply operations to stabilize and optimize power costs Progressive approach to reduce coal Effective generation – Boardman 2020 Plan Utility Operations T
Slide 14: 4. Financial Performance
4. Financial Performance Net Income, Earnings per Share, and ROE 2010 – 2014 (NI in millions) 2.3 $2.18 2.1 $1.95 $1.87 1.9 $1.84 EPS $1.66 $142 1.7 1.5 (2) $1.35 1.3 NI $125 $147 $141 $105(2) $175 1.1 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E ROE 8.0% 9.0% 8.3% 7.9% 9.4% 2010 2011 2012 2013(1) 2014 1) 2013 display
Slide 15: 4. Consistent Dividend Growth
4. Consistent Dividend Growth (1) 3% $1.16 1 CAGR $1.11 $1.09 $1.07 0.9 $1.05 $1.03 $1.00 0.8 $0.96 70% 0.7 $0.92 Target Payout Ratio 0.6 50% 0.5 0.4 0.3 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Actual Payout Ratio Annual dividend increases expected to be in the 5-7% range(2) Target Payout Ratio
Slide 16: 5. Strong Financial Position
5. Strong Financial Position Revolving Credit Facilities (1) Financial Resources (in millions) Investment grade credit ratings S&P Moody’s Senior Secured A- A1 Total Available Senior Unsecured BBB A3 Credit Credit + Outlook Stable Stable Facilities Cash $635 $631 Manageable debt maturities Tar
Slide 17: Strong Platform. Executing our Growth.
PGE INVESTMENT THESIS Strong Platform. Executing our Growth. The Company The Strengths The Execution 17
Slide 18: Load-Resource Forecast
Load-Resource Forecast MWa Load-Resource Forecast - Energy (1) 3000 2500 New Generation: RFP Projects 2000 Incremental Energy Efficiency Long-Term Contracts 1500 1000 PGE Generation 500 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1) Load-resource forecast as included in the 2013 IRP in March 2014; ass
Slide 19: Completed Projects
Completed Projects Tucannon River Wind Farm Project Location Columbia County, WA Capacity / Fuel 267 MW / Wind 116 2.3 MW Siemens Technology Turbines EPC Contractor RES Americas In-Service Date December 15, 2014 Customer Price Impact ~2.4% Project Cost(1) $525M Port Westward Unit 2 Project Location
Slide 20: Under Construction: Baseload Resource
Under Construction: Baseload Resource Carty Generating Station Project Location Boardman, OR Capacity / Fuel 440 MW / Natural Gas Technology Mitsubishi Turbine EPC Contractor Abener/Abengoa Estimated In-Service Date Q2 2016 Customer Price Impact ~ 3.1% Overall construction ~70% complete(1); includin
Slide 21: Execution of Regulatory Strategy
Execution of Regulatory Strategy General Rate Case 2016: Final Order Received Filed on February 12, 2015: As Ordered November 3, 2015: 2016 Forward Test Year 2016 Forward Test Year Return on Equity (ROE): 9.9% Return on Equity (ROE): 9.6% Cost of Capital: 7.67% Cost of Capital: 7.52% C
Slide 22: Estimated Capital Expenditures
Estimated Capital Expenditures 700 600 $580 Current Capital Outlook ▪ New customer information 500 $162 and meter data $431 management replacement $ (Millions) 400 $45 project has been launched. $366 $296 $281 ▪ Management continues to 300 evaluate incremental reliability and efficiency 200 $418 $38
Slide 23: 2016 Integrated Resource Plan
2016 Integrated Resource Plan IRP Process Timeline 2015 Develop IRP / Public Process 2016 File IRP 2017 Acknowledgement from OPUC expected and RFP process commences Areas of Focus ▪ Energy efficiency and demand side actions ▪ Evaluation of carbon and the Clean Power Plan ▪ Energy and capacity needs
Slide 24: PGE Value Proposition
PGE Value Proposition Strong financial position High quality utility operations Strong Platform executing Sustained L-T Attractive service area Growth New investments drive rate-base growth 24
Slide 25: PGE Investor Relations Team
PGE Investor Relations Team Director, Investor Relations William J. (503) 464-7395 Valach [email protected] Analyst, Investor Relations Jacquelyn S. (503) 464-8586 Ferchland [email protected] Portland Investors.PortlandGeneral.com 121 S.W. Salmon Street General Suite 1WTC0509 Electric
Slide 26: Appendices
Portland General Electric Appendices
Slide 27: Diversified Resource Mix
Diversified Resource Mix Resource Capacity (at 12/31/14)(1) Power Sources as a Capacity % of Total in MW Capacity Percent of Retail Load Hydro(1) (2014 Actuals) Deschutes River Projects 303 6% Clackamas/Willamette River Projects 191 4% Total = 18,734,000 MWh Hydro Contracts 595 12% 1,089 22% Natural
Slide 28: Changing Generation Portfolio
Changing Generation Portfolio 2015 Power Sources as a 2017 Power Sources as a Percent of Retail Load(1) Percent of Retail Load(2) Purchased Purchased Power Power Hydro 6% Hydro 11% 23% 20% Natural Gas Natural Gas 25% Wind & Solar Wind & Solar 39% 12% 13% Coal Coal 28% 23% New Resources Driving Chang
Slide 29: Financing Activity
Financing Activity Equity Issuances Description Date Shares Net Proceeds Equity Forward Issuance June 2013 11.1 million -- Draw pursuant to forward August 2013 0.7 million $20 million Draw pursuant to forward June 2015 10.4 million $271 million Net remaining shares available for issuance: 0 Equity O
Slide 30: Generation Plant Operations
Generation Plant Operations Track record of high availability 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 PGE Thermal Plants 94% 90% 92% 84% 89% PGE Hydro Plants 99% 100% 99% 100% 100% PGE Wind Farm 96% 97% 98% 98% 94% PGE Wtd. Average 95% 93% 94% 89% 92% Colstrip Unit 3 & 4 95% 84% 93% 66% 83% Generation Reliabil
Slide 31: 2013 Integrated Resource Plan
2013 Integrated Resource Plan 2013 IRP was acknowledged by the OPUC on 12/2/14 and PGE received written confirmation on stipulations to incorporate into the 2016 IRP development PGE filed a 2013 IRP update in December 2015 Action Plan Resource Additions through 2017 • No new long-term supply sid
Slide 32: Recovery of Power Costs Return on Equity
Recovery of Power Costs Annual Power Cost Update Tariff Annual reset of prices based on forecast of net variable power costs (NVPC) for the coming year Subject to OPUC prudency review and approval, new prices go into effect on or around January 1 of the following year Power Cost Adjustment Mecha
Slide 33: Renewable Portfolio Standard
Renewable Portfolio Standard Additional Renewable Resources PGE’s 2009 Integrated Resource Plan addressed procurement of renewable resources to meet the 2015 requirement of Oregon’s Renewable Portfolio Standard. To help meet this standard PGE built Tucannon River Wind Farm, a 267 megawatt, 116 tur
Slide 34: Decoupling Mechanism
Decoupling Mechanism The decoupling mechanism is intended to allow recovery of margin lost due to a reduction in sales of electricity resulting from customers’ energy efficiency and conservation efforts. This includes a Sales Normalization Adjustment (SNA) mechanism for residential and small nonresi
Slide 35: Average Retail Price Comparison
Average Retail Price Comparison Residential and Commercial – Winter 2015 Residential Electric Service Costs Commercial Electric Service Prices Northwestern Investor-Owned and Public Northwestern Investor-Owned and Public Utilities Utilities 1,000 kWh per Month 40 kW Demand - 14,000 kWh per Month (ce
Slide 36: Average Retail Price Comparison
Average Retail Price Comparison Small and Large Industrial – Winter 2015 Small Industrial Electric Service Prices Large Industrial Electric Service Prices Northwestern Investor-Owned and Public Northwestern Investor-Owned and Public Utilities Utilities 1,000 kW Demand - 400,000 kWh per Month, Primar
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