Ecopetrol Sa · BVC:ECOPETROL
Ecopetrol Sa — Investor Presentation (May 2013)
44 slides from Ecopetrol Sa's investor presentation, May 2013
Slide 1: Investor Presentation May 2013
ECOPETROL S.A. Investor Presentation May 2013
Slide 2: Disclaimer
Disclaimer This document was prepared by Ecopetrol S.A. with the purpose of providing the market and interested parties certain financial and other information of the Company. This document may include strategy discussions and forward-looking statements regarding the probable development of Ecopetro
Slide 3: Agenda
Agenda 1. Overview 2. Exploration & Production 3. Downstream 4. Transportation 5. Financials 6. Outlook 2Q 2013 3
Slide 4: Overview
Overview ectterrot
Slide 5: Capex plan focused on E&P has lead growth since 2008
Capex plan focused on E&P has lead growth since 2008 Capex Growth 2008-2012 2007 vs. 2012/2013 7% 4% Production 2.0 X 8% 791 mboed (1Q-2013) Total Capex 13% USD 31 bn 48% Reserves (1P) 1.6 X 1.9 bn boe (Dec. 2012) 20% Ebitda 2.6 X USD 14.8 bn (1Q-2013) Production Acquisitions Transportation Market C
Slide 6: Ecopetrol is Colombia's top player with interests in the U.S., Brazil and Peru
Ecopetrol is Colombia´s top player and holds interests in the U.S., Brazil and Peru Ecopetrol and interests in subsidiaries & affiliates E&P: america Ref.& Petchem. : Transport: Biofuels: PERU Midstream * BRAZIL • Crude transport: 941 mbd Key figures: • Products transport: 314 mbd Upstream Downstrea
Slide 7: Strategic plan with Capex of USD 75 bn to reach 1.3 mn clean barrels by 2020
Strategic plan with a Capex of USD 80 bn to reach a production of 1.3 mn “clean” barrels by 2020 USD 75 bn Biof. & other 3% 1.3 1.3mn boed million boed Transport Refining 5% 7% “Clean barrels” in 2020 25% Exploration • No accidents • No environmental incidents Production • Sound labor relations 60%
Slide 8: Exploration & Production
Exploration 2¢°@.%: & Production Biases Loo PAR 2 a” 0g I ecorrow i es" Se
Slide 9: Rise in production led by heavy oil in Colombia
Rise in production led by heavy oil in Colombia Average production / year (thousand barrels of crude oil and gas per day) 1,300 1,000 791 798 724 754 46 616 54 52 124 111 521 36 100 447 22 98 399 93 85 72 570 591 620 482 362 406 327 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1Q-20132013 (e) 2015 (e) 2020 (e) Cru
Slide 10: E&P strategy has four drivers to reach 1.3 mn clean barrels in 2020
E&P strategy has four drivers that rise production to 1.3 mn “clean” barrels in 2020 and add 6.2 bn barrels of 1P reserves 1 Production and Increase Recovery Factor • Primary/Secondary/Tertiary Recovery • EOR/IOR (Enhanced Oil Recovery/Improved Oil Recovery) Production & 1 Recovery Factor: Prod: 840
Slide 11: Main fields by region in Colombia
Main fields by region in Colombia Average Production in 2012* (mboed) Central 26% Castilla 111 Chichimene 44 Eastern 19% Rubiales + Quifa 125 Northeast 21% Guajira 59 Cusiana 36 Middle 15% La Cira 22 Magdalena Nare 16 Catatumbo 10% Tibú 2 South 8% Orito 3 Tello 5 Minor fields 1% * Accounts for EC´s
Slide 12: Production of current fields supported by drilling and recovery
1 Production of current fields supported by drilling, non-thermal recovery, and thermal recovery Workstreams Key Initiatives Screening and projects Primary recovery • Infill Drilling Horizontal and • Llanos Orientales Drilling • New area development multilateral wells • Middle Magdalena • Optimize w
Slide 13: Production: 1Q 2013
1 Production: 1Q 2013 Production: Ecopetrol + net interests Teca field pumpjacks (thousand barrels of oil equivalent / day) (Mid-Magdalena) 743 791 2 17 2 17 22 6 29 7 688 744 1Q-2012 1Q-2013 Ecopetrol Hocol Savia Equión EC America Main fields (thousand barrels of oil equivalent / day) 100% ECP Asse
Slide 14: Upstream strategy has four drivers to 1.3 mn clean barrels
Upstream strategy has four drivers that rise production to 1.3 mn “clean” barrels in 2020 and add 6.2 bn barrels of 1P reserves 1 Production and Increase Recovery Factor • Primary/Secondary/Tertiary Recovery • EOR/IOR (Enhanced Oil Recovery/Improved Oil Recovery) 1 Production & Recovery Factor: 2 Ex
Slide 15: Ecopetrol has 37% of licensed acreage in Colombia, 6 strategic basins
Ecopetrol has 37% of the total licensed acreage in Colombia 2 and operates in 6 strategic basins of high potential Exploration assets* (61 blocks) Caribbean sea 4 15.7 mn hectares Operated directly: 51 Blocks Not operated: 10 Blocks 5 Basins Ecopetrol S.A. 1 Llanos – Catatumbo Hocol S.A. 2 Mid
Slide 16: International exploration assets with 8.7 mn Has
2 International exploration assets with 8.7 mn Has U.S.A. EC America 0.1 mn Has Miocene GOM Paleogene Jurassic EC Peru 4.4 mn Has Para Maranhao Marañón Marañón EC Brazil Ucayali Sechura Ucayali 0.1 mn Has Huallaga Salaverry Brazil Campos Lima Peru Santos Espiritu Santo Para-Maranhao Savia Peru Campo
Slide 17: Higher exploration activity and geological success
2 Higher exploration activity and geological success Wildcat Wells (A3/A2) 39 7 33 28 3 7 6 23 19 9 2 3 2 2 1 15 2 3 8 12 1 1 1 1 2 9 3 21 20 4 16 3 12 13 13 9 7 4 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Plan Ecopetrol S.A ECP Brasil ECP Peru ECP USA Hocol Savia Geological 16% 33% 26% 26% 49% 5
Slide 18: Exploration: 1Q 2013
2 Exploration: 1Q 2013 Exploratory activity Drilling in Teca field Ecopetrol + net interests (Mid-Magdalena) (Number of wells) 1Q-2013 Hydrocarbon Drilled presence Colombia* A3/A2 4 3 Strats 5 2 9 5 * Includes Ecopetrol S.A. and Hocol Highlights • Three hydrocarbon findings in Colombia: • Ecopetrol:
Slide 19: Upstream strategy has four drivers to 1.3 mn clean barrels
Upstream strategy has four drivers that rise production to 1.3 mn “clean” barrels in 2020 and add 6.2 bn barrels of 1P reserves 1 Production and Increase Recovery Factor • Primary/Secondary/Tertiary Recovery • EOR/IOR (Enhanced Oil Recovery/Improved Oil Recovery) 1 Production & Recovery Factor: 2 Ex
Slide 20: Unconventional hydrocarbon potential in Colombia
3 Unconventional hydrocarbon potential in Colombia Methane Hydrate 120 - 1200 TCF (Karson, 1994) Gas in Situ 434.2 TCF HM - CARIBE 32 TCF GAC (Arthur D´little, 2010) - GUAJIRA Shale Oil/Gas 31.7 TCF (Highest GAC - CESAR potential in Mid Magd Valley 29 TCF) ORIPAYA WELL (2013) SH - CATATUMBO Coal Bed
Slide 21: 1P Reserves
1P RESERVES 1P Reserves balance* Reserves addition vs. production*** (million of barrels of oil equivalent) 2010-2012 (million of barrels of oil equivalent) 1,877 1,857 981 1,714 643 2010 2011 2012 Addition Production RRR** 193% 165% 109% * SEC standards (net of royalties) ** RRR: Reserve replacemen
Slide 22: Downstream
3 Downstream ectterrot
Slide 23: Projects in refining improve profitability: Reficar modernization
Projects in refining improve profitability: Reficar modernization Reficar (Cartagena) refinery modernization project • Refining capacity from 80 to 165 mbd • High conversion from 76% to 97% • Processing of heavy, extra-heavy and sour crude oils • International fuel quality standards (sulfur conten
Slide 24: Projects in refining improve profitability: B/meja modernization
Projects in refining improve profitability: B/meja modernization Barrancabermeja refinery modernization project 45 mbd of clean and valuable fuels High conversion from 75 to > 95% Processing of heavy, extra-heavy and sour crude oils Revamps Domestic fuel quality standards (sulfur content)
Slide 25: Refining modernization projects increase revenues
Refining modernization projects increase revenues: maximizing output of medium distillates and gasoline Barrancabermeja Production Reficar Production 250 mbd 250 mbd 80 mbd 165 mbd 1% 0.5% 3% 3% Petrochemicals Petroquímicos 7% 7% 4% 4% Propylene Propileno GLP LPG 34% 40% LPG GLP 36% Destilados Medio
Slide 26: Refining modernization reduces costs
Refining modernization reduce costs: Processing crudes available in Colombia and reducing cost of feedstock Quality of crude basket: Quality of crude basket: Barrancabermeja Reficar 17% 10% 7% 20% Livianos Light 20% 19% 45% Medium Medios 93% 70% 61% Pesados Heavyy&ácidos Sour 38% 2012 Current With A
Slide 27: Market & Clients: Diversifying crude references and export destinations
Market & Clients: Diversifying crude references and export destinations Destinations of Crude Exports: 1Q 2013 Crude References: 1Q 2013 Caribbean South U.S. East 0.8% America Coast 1.3% 3.7% Other 1% Europe 7.6% Maya 37% U.S. West Coast 2.2% Central U.S. Gulf America Coast 6.6% 41.8% Price of crude
Slide 28: Transportation & Logistics
00 Gee Transportation deiws Ort & Logistics ectterrot
Slide 29: Rising Transport Capacity and Key Projects
Rising Transport Capacity and Key Projects Transported volume and capacity Key transportation assets Transportation Capacity Pozos – Galan (thousand barrels per day) Coveñas Port Ayacucho – Coveñas +300 MBOD* Product line Pipeline (770 MBOD)** +45 MBOD* Santa Marta +3 MBOD* (90 MBOD)** 1,220 (45 MBO
Slide 30: CENIT: Transport new business model
CENIT: Transport new business model Summary: • Subsidiary incorporated in June 2012 • 100% owned by Ecopetrol • Ecopetrol transfered Cenit its shares in pipeline and transport assets • Started operations under new model in April 2013 Services in Colombia: • Transport, storage and logistical services
Slide 31: Transport: 1Q / 2013
Transport: 1Q / 2013 Transported volumes by pipeline Transported volumes by trucks Bicentenario pipeline (thousand barrels per day) (thousand barrels per day) building site (Casanare) 1,224 1,255 317 314 908 941 104 99 0.2 5 46 22 58 72 1Q-2012 1Q-2013 1Q-2012 1Q-2013 Products Crude Refined Naphta C
Slide 32: Financials
5 Financials ectterrot
Slide 33: Sales growth driven by exports
Sales growth driven by exports Total Sales (mboed) 881 885 857 733 650 Local sales Exports 547 494 521 511 475 370 Local sales* 302 58% Exports 148 31% 216 42% 327 69% 331 348 363 363 359 374 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1Q-2013 Exports (mboed) 494 521 511 22 22 4% 25 54 Natural gas 370 55 56 11% 8
Slide 34: Financial results
Financial results Price of Crude 99.7 99.1 102.6 103.7 Export Basket 61.8 72.0 (USD/bl) 30.4 33.1 19.4 13.4 14.1 Local 14.1 12.8 7.8 8.2 Exports Total Sales 9.2 65% 35% 7.2 5.6 11.6 17.0 19.0 4.6 42% 58% 4.9 3.6 (USD bn) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1Q-2013 45% 50% 45% 46% 47% Ebitda 38% 39% 43% 36% Mar
Slide 35: P&L of Ecopetrol S.A.: 1Q / 2013
P&L of Ecopetrol S.A. : 1Q / 2013 Revenues Income Statement (COP$ trillion) (COP$ trillion) • Lower prices: 15.4 14.8 • Sales basket (-8.2%) • Product exports (-12.1%) Revenues 14.8 • Higher production (+6.4%) 1Q-2012 1Q-2013 Variable Costs 6.6 Variable Costs (COP$ trillion) • Higher transport costs
Slide 36: Cash flow, indebtedness, and credit ratings
Cash flow, indebtedness, and credit ratings Initial Sources Uses Final 0.2 0.1 25.8 10.3 14.8 Cash flow 1Q 2013 10.7 3.0 3.9 8.6 (COP$ trillion) Initial Cash Operations Other FX Diff Cash Available Operations Capex Dividends Ending Cash Assets Liabilities Debt Ratios** Inventories 100.4 2.7 Other sh
Slide 37: Primary offerings and shareholders
Primary offerings and shareholders Primary Equity Offerings of Ecopetrol Ecopetrol´s shareholders (Mar 31/2013) USD 2.8 bn 10.1% Main instit. 20.0% Foreign inv. ADRs; 1.1% Other Instit.; Inv. In ord. 1.9% Colombia; Shares; 0.7% 4.2% US$1.3 Retail inv.; 3.7% bn* 1.4%* 8.3% 451 thousand shareholders R
Slide 38: Capex plan of US$75 billion 2013-2020 focused on E&P
Capex plan of US$75 billion between 2013-2020 focused on E&P, mainly funded with internal cash generation Biof. & other 3% 9% 5% Equity Transport Refining 7% 16% Debt 25% Exploration 75% Production Cash 60% generation Uses Sources 38
Slide 39: Capex of US$9.5 billion for 2013
Capex of US$9.5 billion for 2013 Breakdown of Capex Key goals/projects per segment Drilling: 1% • 33 A3/A2 wells •26 in Colombia • 7 International Exploration • 12 Strats wells in Colombia 19% Production • 11 A1 wells: Exploration • 10 in Colombia • 1 International 44% Refining Seismic: 8,500 Kms in
Slide 40: Outlook 2Q / 2013
% 8) Outlook IecoO yl 20/2013 Bite. #.) ectterrot
Slide 41: Highlights as of May 2013
Highlights as of May 2013 Production • Record production of 791 mboed in 1Q/2013: +6.4% vs 1Q 2012 • Three discoveries in Colombia: Ecopetrol (2) and Hocol (1) Exploration • Competitive bids for six blocks in U.S. GoM Lease 227 • Bicentenario pipeline progress: 66% Transport • Transfer of transport
Slide 42: Outlook for 2Q-2013
Outlook for 2Q-2013 • Drilling campaign • Colombia: Exploration • Ecopetrol S.A.: 3 A3 wells, 2 Strats, 2 A1 wells • Hocol: 1 A3 well, 2 Strats • International: 1 A1 well in the US GoM • Fields with the main production increases: Castilla, Chichimene, Rubiales, Quifa, Piedemonte and La Cira-Infantas
Slide 43: Investor Relations
Investor Relations • Phone + 571 234 5190 • Email [email protected] • Website www.ecopetrol.com.co 43
Slide 44: Energy for the Future
SEP ENERGY FOR THE FUTURE Ecopetrol S.A. All rights reserved. The re production of this presentation is forbidden without the written authorization of Ecopetrol S.A.