Horizon Oil Limited · ASX:HZN
Horizon Oil — Investor Presentation (February 2016)
31 slides from Horizon Oil's investor presentation, Feb 4, 2016
Slide 1: Investor Presentation February 2016
HORIZON OIL LIMITED ABN 51009799455 Investor Presentation February 2016
Slide 2: Disclaimer
Disclaimer Statements contained in this material, particularly those regarding the possible or assumed future performance, costs, dividends, returns, production levels or rates, prices, reserves, potential growth of Horizon Oil Limited, industry growth or other trend projections and any estimated co
Slide 3: Company overview – asset portfolio
Company overview – asset portfolio Clear geographic focus on Asia-Pacific region Technical focus on proven, conventional plays with scale, upside and manageable risk * Working with experienced partners such as CNOOC, OMV, Mitsubishi and Osaka Gas Currently producing oil but will have a diver
Slide 4: Horizon Oil (HZN:AU) at a glance
Horizon Oil (HZN:AU) at a glance Sydney-based public company listed on Australian Securities Exchange Portfolio of exploration, development and producing assets in Asia-Pacific region Shareholding: IMC (Singapore) - 29%, institutions - 38%, high net worth - 20%, retail investors - 13% Curren
Slide 5: Shareholder distribution and trading statistics
Shareholder distribution and trading statistics Jan - Feb 2016 (to date) Last $0.070 High $0.089 Low $0.070 Volume 13,181,347 12 Months Last $0.070 High $0.140 Low $0.065 Volume 703.36m Fully paid shares 1,302m 1 Partly paid shares 1.50m 2 Employee options 4.37m General options 1.0m Share appreciati
Slide 6: Key performance measures – last five financial years
Key performance measures – last five financial years Completion of Maari Growth Project in July 2015 expected to increase The outlook for 2016 in the current oil price environment remains production in 2016 positive due to the benefit of oil price hedging Average cash cost of US$14.10/barrel for the
Slide 7: Net Reserves, Contingent Resources and Prospective Resources as at 30 June 2015
Net Reserves1, Contingent Resources1 and Prospective Resources1 as at 30 June 2015 RESERVES CONTINGENT RESOURCES PROSPECTIVE RESOURCES Proven + Probable Proven + Probable Best Estimate Total: 13.9 mmboe Total: 87.6 mmboe Total: 78 mmboe including 400 bcf gas Including 286 bcf gas Long life of rese
Slide 8: Forecast net production from Reserves + Contingent Resources
Forecast net production from Reserves + Contingent Resources as at 1 July 2015 18,000 Assumptions 16,000 Development of WZ 12-8E, 12-10 and 12-3 fields in 14,000 Beibu Gulf, with production commencing in 2017 Barrels of oil equivalent per day 12,000 Stanley condensate start-up 10,000 with gas sa
Slide 9: Strategic imperative – focus on resource development
Strategic imperative – focus on resource development Total audited reserves and contingent resources of 101.5 million barrels of equivalent 11% developed / 89% undeveloped – 34% oil / 66% gas 10.7 mmboe Developed oil (NZ and China) 5.4 mmboe Undeveloped oil (NZ and China) 66.7 mmboe 18.7 mmboe Undev
Slide 10: Beibu Gulf field production and future development areas – China
Beibu Gulf field production and future development areas – China WZ 6-12N and WZ 12-8W fields producing above forecast Potential for higher oil recovery from WZ 12-8W Excellent HSE record since production start-up in 2013 Cost recovery oil entitlement of US$98m over 2016-2020 Further devel
Slide 11: Horizon Oil's share of Block 22/12 gross revenue – calculated on 2P Reserves
Horizon Oil’s share of Block 22/12 gross revenue – calculated on 2P Reserves Forecast The above graph demonstrates Horizon Oil’s increased share of cost recovery in the period Jan 2016 to Mar 2020, once CNOOC has recovered its share of development costs Horizon Oil’s portion of investment recove
Slide 12: Beibu Gulf future development projects – WZ 12-8 Development Area
Beibu Gulf future development projects – WZ 12-8 Development Area Integrated development of WZ 12-8E and WZ 12-3 fields (audited gross 2C resources 10.5 mmbo) plus WZ 12-10-1 and WZ 12-10-2 accumulations (audited gross 2P+2C reserves and resources 7.1 mmbo) envisaged; development plan to be submit
Slide 13: Beibu Gulf fields – phased development scheme
Beibu Gulf fields – phased development scheme Phased approach to development of new reserves – utilising existing infrastructure 4 February 2016 13
Slide 14: Maari/Manaia fields – New Zealand
Maari /Manaia fields – New Zealand FPSO Raroa purchased in April 2013 Maari field facilities and FPSO Raroa repaired and upgraded in H2 2013 Maari Growth Projects Program successfully completed and Ensco 107 jack-up rig released in July 2015 Field production currently ~13,500 bopd Workover
Slide 15: Manaia – Maari schematic cross-section
Manaia – Maari schematic cross-section 4 February 2016 15
Slide 16: Maari production forecast to 2030 showing Growth Projects contribution
Maari production forecast to 2030 showing Growth Projects contribution and upside potential (HZN) Actual Forecast 4 February 2016 16
Slide 17: Exploration potential on Maari/Manaia oil migration path – PEP 51313
Exploration potential on Maari/Manaia oil migration path – PEP 51313 4 February 2016 17
Slide 18: Papua New Guinea
Papua New Guinea PNG is rich in oil, gas and minerals with track record of successful large-scale development projects Stable fiscal regime and succession of “pro- development” governments Jurisdiction well-supported by lenders Horizon Oil acreage position ~7,900 sq km in foreland terrain, p
Slide 19: Horizon Oil acreage and joint venture partners - Papua New Guinea
Horizon Oil acreage and joint venture partners - Papua New Guinea Successful Tingu-1 exploration/appraisal well drilled in 2013 extended PRL 21 gas/condensate resources materially Development application for Elevala/Tingu/Ketu fields in PRL 21 filed in March 2014 Development licence for Stanle
Slide 20: Stanley and Elevala/Ketu field development schemes
Stanley and Elevala/Ketu field development schemes Stanley field Petroleum Development Licence awarded in May 2014 Development drilling subsequently completed, both wells Stanley-3 and -5 met or exceeded expectations Elevala and Tingu to be developed as one field Elevala/Ketu Petroleum Devel
Slide 21: PNG gas commercialisation options
PNG gas commercialisation options Sales to regional buyers for power generation and other industrial use − Ok Tedi Mining Limited (OTML) and Frieda River project (when sanctioned) − Local towns and communities in Kiunga – Ok Menga – Frieda River corridor − Export to West Papua: Merauke, Jayapura
Slide 22: Papua New Guinea hydrocarbon production
Papua New Guinea hydrocarbon production 4 February 2016 22
Slide 23: Horizon Oil forecast net production from Reserves + Contingent Resources
Horizon Oil forecast net production from Reserves + Contingent Resources as at 1 July 2015 18,000 Assumptions 16,000 Development of WZ 12-8E, 12-10 and 12-3 fields in 14,000 Beibu Gulf, with production commencing in 2017 Barrels of oil equivalent per day 12,000 10,000 Stanley condensate start-up
Slide 24: WoodMackenzie macro oil near-term outlook (Oct 2015)
WoodMackenzie macro oil near-term outlook (Oct 2015) (1) US total rig count 767 (574 oil rigs) at 13 Nov 2015, down from 1,928 (1,574 oil rigs), year-on-year Global oil supply peaked in Q2 2015, as US unconventional oil went into decline ~ US$280 billion globally in new projects cancelled or d
Slide 25: WoodMackenzie macro oil supply/demand outlook (Oct 2015)
WoodMackenzie macro oil supply/demand outlook (Oct 2015) (2) 4 February 2016 25
Slide 26: Barclays global oil supply/demand outlook (Oct 2015)
Barclays global oil supply/demand outlook (Oct 2015) (3) The balances for 2016 are substantially tighter than 2014 and 2015, with stock draws forecast in Q4 2016 4 February 2016 26
Slide 27: RBC oil price forecast Nov 2015
RBC oil price forecast Nov 2015 (4) 4 February 2016 27
Slide 28: LNG demand vs contracted supply
LNG demand vs contracted supply Medium to long-term LNG demand forecasts still robust Source: Oil Search Limited 4 February 2016 28
Slide 29: Response to current low oil price environment
Response to current low oil price environment Brent oil price Operating income substantively maintained by oil price hedging 2014 – mid 2016 Opex reduced (down ~20% YTD in Block 22/12) Capex for 2015-2016 materially reduced and discretionary expenditure minimised Estimated capex + net G&A for
Slide 30: Strong risk management with a well established hedging policy
Strong risk management with a well established hedging policy Oil price hedge profile 842,500 mmboe hedged from 1 Jan 2015 through mid 2016 at average of US$95/bbl Oil price hedging program means cash flows in 2015 and 2016 not as critically impacted by low oil prices Production costs signific
Slide 31: 4 February 2016
; Please visit the Horizon Oil website to see:- Level 6, 134 William St, Detailed Investor Presentation Woolloomooloo NSW 2011 Tel: +612 9332 5000 Fax: +612 9335 5050 Email: [email protected] Latest Quarterly Report Analyst reports on HZN The reserve and resource information contained in