Elia Group Sa/nv · EURONEXT:ELI
Elia Group Sa/nv — Corporate Update (September 2014)
13 slides from Elia Group Sa/nv's corporate update, Sep 25, 2014
Slide 1: Adequacy in Belgium winter 2014-15
Adequacy in Belgium winter 2014-15 Users’ Group 25 September 2014
Slide 2: Outlook for the coming winter(s)
Outlook for the coming winter(s)
Slide 3: Just before winter ≈1/3rd of our production capacity is unavailable
Just before winter ≈1/3rd of our production capacity is unavailable!!! Installed capacity of centralised fossil fuel & nuclear plants 14000 12000 Loss of +/- 2000 MW winter 12-13 10000 8000 MW 6000 4000 2000 0 Winter 12-13 Winter 13-14 Full nuke No D3/T2 No D4 No D4 + Strat No D4/D1 + Res Strat Re
Slide 4: Overview of situation per type of power plant
Overview of situation per type of power plant Conventional Nuclear Gas # Power plants built during the 7 NU power plants for a total 4400 MW, of which several have 60s and 70s (still in service in of 5900 MW announced mothballing and/or winter 2012-2013) have been closure. • NU phase-out (by 2025) h
Slide 5: Import capacity at our borders
Import capacity at our borders • Elia’s current grid provides market players with import transmission capacity of 3500 MW. • This meets the European safety criteria in order to avoid a grid collapse and ensuing domino effect. • Electricity flows are determined by the market. Example of import of 350
Slide 6: And Belgium relies on imports
And Belgium relies on imports Under normal circumstances ELIA allows imports up to: • 3500MW (winter) and • 3000MW (summer) > 3500 MW: accepted case by case, only after security check by experts 29 days > 3000 MW import; partly for economic reasons (e.g. 19/11/2012 max. 3864 MW) Due to Belgium's
Slide 7: Loss of Load Expected
Loss of Load Expected Scenario without winter maintenance, with 850 MW strategic reserve AND counting on 3500MW of imports! (Without DOEL3 and TIHANGE2 LOLE Average P95 7
Slide 8: Measures taken in BE
Measures taken in BE
Slide 9: In order to cope with this (r)evolution measures have already been taken
In order to cope with this (r)evolution measures have already been taken Wathelet Plan (secretary of state for energy in BE) Strategic reserve: 850 MW (745 Generation and 100 Demand) as of 1 Nov 2014 Elia’s role: yearly determination of required volumes, organisation of the tendering, contracting
Slide 10: Elia has set up the “Be.Ready” programme
Elia has set up the “Be.Ready” programme STRATEGIC RESERVES S1 – Review needs S2 - Review (temporary) closures and construction Maximise S10 – Increase P3 – Optimise power production capacity available plant maintenance production P7 – Accelerate DSM S4 – review timing and scope of investments S8 –
Slide 11: Measures taken by our government
+Measures taken by our government Government has announced (in order to decrease the risk of curtailment) actions to reduce consumption. Measures taken and activated by the government It is also expected that actions will be taken by market players (BRPs) due to an important incentive (€4,500/MW
Slide 12: What if this is not enough?
What if this is not enough? If production + imports - measures to reduce consumption are not enough then the final solution = load shedding (emergency procedure) NW NE CE SW SE 12
Slide 13: Many thanks for your attention!
Many thanks for your attention! ELIA SYSTEM OPERATOR Boulevard de l'Empereur 20 1000 Brussels +32 2 546 70 11 info@ elia.be www.elia.be An Elia Group company